Showing posts with label Ryan Grant. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ryan Grant. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Building The 53 - Roster Moves From 90 to 75

Green Bay Packers general manager Ted Thompson made a series of moves over the last three days to trim the roster from 90 to 75 players by 3 pm CDT on Tuesday, August 27, 2013 in order to comply with NFL rules.  Here is a breakdown of the moves made by Thompson:
- Placed on PUP list (4): Sean Richardson (S), Derek Sherrod (T), JC Tretter (OC/G), and Jerel Worhty (DL) so once the regular season starts those players cannot practice with the team for at least the first six games of season.
- Placed on injured reserve (4): Bryan Bulaga (T), Kevin Dorsey (WR), DuJuan Harris (RB), and Jarvis Reed (OLB) thus ending their 2013 season.
- Released (8): Alex Gillett (WR), Graham Harrell (QB), Omarius Hines (WR), Angelo Pease (RB), Gilbert Peña (DT), Zach Ramirez (K), Giorgio Tavecchio (K), and Justin Wilson (WR).

If you add up the players above it equals 16 but the roster moved from 90 to 75, which is only 15 so let me explain how one player was "double counted".  The oddest move made by Thompson in a long time was signing Ramirez on Sunday and cutting him on Tuesday, which must mean he kicked horribly in practice on Monday and is how we have 16 people listed above.

None of the players placed on the PUP list or injured reserved were a surprise other than Harris.  After missing most of the preseason, Harris got a couple carries against the Seattle Seahwawks where he re-injured his knee.  Head coach Mike McCarthy maintained throughout the preseason that when healthy, Harris was the starting running back.  I thought that was lip-service by McCarthy to light a fire under the other running backs on the roster because let's not forget that the Packers signed Harris last year while he was trying to sell cars after getting cut from the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars so take the loss of Harris with a grain of salty.

The injury to Harris means rookie Eddy Lacy, if healthy, will open the season as the starting running back.  If Lacy looks like he did in week 2 of the preseason as opposed to week 3 of the preseason, the Packers should have an every down back for the first time since Ryan Grant in 2009.

None of the players cut were a surprise other than possibly Harrell.  Given the fact that Harrell had to play the preseason game of his life last year just to make The 53, no one should be that surprised that Harrell was cut.  Cutting Harrell opens the door open for Vince Young to claim the backup quarterback spot behind Aaron Rodgers unless B.J. Coleman has the game of his life in the preseason finale against the Kansas City Chiefs.  No matter how Young and Coleman play against the Chiefs, the Packers should keep former Wisconsin Badger quarterback Scott Tolzien in mind since he was recently cut from the 49ers.

Besides Young and Coleman, there are a number of other players that need to play well against the Chiefs to make The 53 because the Packers need to trim 22 more players from their roster by August 31st at 5 pm CDT.

Check back on Friday for my thoughts on the Packers/Chiefs preseason game where I also will give my thoughts on how I would choose The 53.

Sunday, December 16, 2012

2012 Week 15 - Packers beat Bears to Clinch the 2012 NFC North Title

As a Packer fan and resident of Chicago since 2003, every Packers/Bears game feels like a playoff games, especially the ones played in Chicago.  Thanks to having uncles with Bears season tickets, I have been to nearly every Packers/Bears game in Chicago for the last decade.  Usually I've taken Cheesehead Chick or a buddy but this time I really wanted to go with Papa Cheese.  Luckily schedules worked out so Papa Cheese and I could enjoy the 186th installment of the Packers/Bears rivalry together at Soldier Field.

The Packers beat the Bears 21-13 to narrow the Bears' lead in the series to 92–88–6.  Instead of giving a blow-by-blow game recap of the game, which felt like a bigger blowout than the final score indicated, I decided to employ a gimmick of my favorite national football writer Peter King that he calls "10 Things I Think I Think":

#1) Three touchdown receptions by James Jones helped erase some of the horrible memories of him fumbling away a regular season win at Soldier Field in 2010.  I was dead wrong when I said that James Jones was the 4th most overpaid Packer going in the 2012 season.

#2) Rookie cornerback Casey Hayward's 6th interception completely changed the complexion of the game because it gave the Packers good field position in the waning moments of the first half, which they took advantage of by scoring a touchdown to take a 14-7 lead.  Bears quarterback Jay Cutler has taken some heat over the years for his horrible body language but his reaction to Hayward's interception might have been an all-time low for Cutler.

#3) There is no doubt that Ryan Grant gives the Packers a fresh set of legs at running back but let's not get too excited about Grant.  There is a reason why Grant was a free agent for most of the season.  That doesn't even factor in Grant's fumble as the Packers were about to put the game out of reach.

#4) The Packers notching their 12th straight division win while clinching their 2nd straight NFC North title with two games left to play still does not mean they should get complacent, especially when a first round bye is within reach if the Packers win out and the 49ers lose one of their last two games.

#5) Head coach Mike McCarthy has made some bold special teams calls this season (think fake field goal against Bears and fake field punt against the Saints) that worked out, but dialing up a trick play with the Packers leaning 21-10 midway through the 4th quarter was downright foolish.  For those that don't know what I am talking about, return man extraordinaire Randall Cobb fielded the punt then threw the ball all the way across the field to Jeremy Ross for Ross's first touch in the NFL.  Some speculated that McCarthy called the fake because Rodgers tweaked his ankle but that presumes that McCarthy's high risk play call would definitely result in a touchdown, which is a stretch.  The smart play is to let Cobb return the kick and have back-up quarterback Graham Harrell play for a series while Rodgers received medial attention.  Thankfully the defense held the Bears to a field goal, otherwise the special teams blunder could have cost the Packers the game.

#6) Wow is it nice to have a healthy Clay Matthews.  Not only is Matthews one of the best pass rushers in the NFL, but you would be hard pressed to find a better rush outside linebacker that defends the run so well.  The only chink in Matthews's armor is that he does not drop into coverage very well.  I support Matthews occasionally spying the quarterback in passing situations but having him drop into coverage seems like a waste.

#7) Although Bears fans hate to agree, it was nice to finally see offensive pass interference called in an NFL game.  I get that three offensive pass interference calls against Alshon Jeffrey feels like too much since refs rarely call offensive pass interference but I applaud the referees for making the right calls.  Plus, if anyone deserves to get a few calls in their favor it is Sam Shields.

#8) Another game, another dreadful performance by placekicker Mason Crosby.  The first miss rivaled Crosby's miss as time expired against the Colts for the worst kick of his career.  The second miss struck the upright to make Crosby 0-2.  I hope I am wrong, but it feels like Crosby is going to have at least once kick with the game on the line in the playoffs, which gives me nightmares.

#9) There is no doubt that the Packers/Bears rivalry is the most historic in the NFL but it has been one sided, both ways, for long periods of time.  Take the current streak for the Packers, they just beat the Bears for the 6th straight time and it was their 8th win in their last 9 tries (only loss was the James Jones fumble game discussed above) to push head coach Mike McCarthy's record against the Bears to 10-5.

#10) Usually Peter King talks about non-football things for #10 so if I am going to borrow his column gimmick, I might as well do it properly.  If you've never been to Chicago, please put it on your bucket list for next summer.  The winters are harsh in the Midwest but the summers make up for it.  Do yourself a favor, come to Chicago the weekend of the Old Town Art Fair.  Besides checking out the art fair, try to catch (no pun intended) a Cubs' game from the bleachers at Wrigley Field, check out a concert at the Jay Pritzker Pavilion in Millennium Park, tour one of the many museums in and around Grant Park (can't go wrong with the Art Institute, Shedd Aquarium, Adler Planetarium, or the Field Museum), grab a bite to eat in Greek Town or Little Italy, attend a show at Second City, grab a night cap at the Hancock Tower, and grab brunch at one of the many tasty breakfast spots (I highly recommend Orange, Wishbone, or Yolk) on your way out of town.  I know some of those things sound touristy, but they are all worth it.

I am going to the Packers/Titans game next week at Lambeau so check back for my review of (hopefully) another Packers' win.

Friday, August 26, 2011

2011 Preseason Week 3 - Packers/Colts Review

Hopefully you didn't turn off the Packers/Colts game with only a few minutes left. If you did, the 3rd stringers for the Packers lead by quarterback Graham Harrell erased an eight point deficit with less than four minutes remaining, thanks in large part to personal fouls by Colts defensive back Chip Vaughn on consecutive plays. Speaking of consecutive play, Graham Harrell and tight end Ryan Taylor hooked up on 4th and goal as well as the ensuing two-point conversion to tie the game with 35 seconds remaining.

Instead of kicking it deep, Packers head coach Mike McCarty dialed up an onside kick that the Packers recovered. Harrell quickly moved the Packers into field goal range and Mason Crosby made a 50-yard kick as time expired to give the Packers a 24-21 win over the Colts. It is only a preseason game so the Packers winning doesn't really matter, but it was nice to see the resolve shown by the 3rd stringers. What matters more are some of the big picture takeaways from the Packers/Colts game:

#1) Players that hurt his stock most: Some veterans really struggled (i.e. left tackle Chad Clifton and right guard Josh Sitton) but their starting spots are virtually guaranteed as long as they are healthy. At this point most of the roster spots are already set but guys on the bubble like Pat Lee (CB), Ricky Elmore (OLB), and Brandon Underwood (S) didn't do enough to secure a spot on the opening day 53-man roster.

#2) Players that helped his stock most: The backup outside linebacker spots are completely up for grabs. Undrafted rookie free agents Jamari Lattimore and Vic So'oto continued to out perform Ricky Elmore a 6th round draft pick from the 2011 NFL Draft. All three players are college defensive ends that the Packers converted to rush outside linebackers in their base 3-4 defensive set. Despite Elmore being an absolute sack machine in college, it was Lattimore and So'oto who both came up with sacks against the Colts.

#3) Position to watch: Coming into the game the starters at left guard (T.J. Lang over Derek Sherrod) and right outside linebacker (Erik Walden over Frank Zombo and Brad Jones) were already decided so there were not really any starting position battles to watch besides running back. When the Packers opened their 2011 campaign it looked like Ryan Grant was going to be the starting running back with James Starks getting a ton of touches as well. Starks continued to play well throughout the preseason and all of a sudden there is a fierce competition for the starting running back spot. Grant renegotiated the last year of his contract (took $1 million less but it is fully guaranteed if he is on the opening day roster) so he is virtually guaranteed a roster spot but will have to perform well throughout the rest of the preseason to open the season as the starting running back. Usually starters do not play very much in Week 4 of the preseason but look for the Packers to give Grant and Starks some touches to help determine the opening day starter.

#4) Injuries: Jermichael Finley sprained his ankle and Jordy Nelson bruised his knee, the severity of the injuries is unknown. Despite the quality depth the Packers have at wide receiver and tight end, they cannot afford to lose either for an extended period of time.

Final Note: The success of the no-huddle offense for the Packers continues to be a hot topic. Coaches calling offensive plays from the sideline is a relatively new thing in the NFL. Some people point to the fact that offenses are becoming "sophisticated" but it really means that there are more plays in the playbook now than even a decade ago. When you break down NFL offenses they are really not that complicated. On running plays there is a blocking scheme that usually gives a running back a few options of where to run. On passing plays there are nine basic routes a receiver can run. Obviously when you mix and match personnel you get a ton of permutations in the offensive playbook but sometimes sticking to the 10 plays that work best, like they do in a no-huddle offense, allows the offense to move the ball really well.

For my previous "Quick Thoughts" on the 2011 preseason for the Packers, check out:
- Preseason Week 1 Packers/Browns Review
- Preseason Week 2 Packers/Cardinals Review
- Lambeau Field Expansion

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Ranking Injured Reserve List for 2010 Green Bay Packers

The 2010 Green Bay Packers suffered 16 season ending injuries on their way to Super Bowl XLV. With so many injuries, I thought it would be interesting to rank the 16 players on injured reserve as a little complimentary Super Bowl XLV coverage. Luckily the Packers suffered most of those injuries early in the season so their back-ups were able to get almost a full season under their belt. There are various accounts of how many games the 16 players on injured reserve missed but the prevailing numbers are that players missed 180 regular season games due to injury with 12 starters missing 86 regular season games. Here are my rankings for the players currently on injured reserve:

#16 - Justin Harrell (DE): Jamal Reynolds must love how much of a bust Harrell has become since it let's Reynolds off the hook. With Brian Brohm no longer on the roster, Harrell stands as general manager Ted Thompson's worst draft pick currently still associated with the Packers.

#15 - Josh Bell (CB): Gave up the touchdown to Mike Wallace as time expired to give the Steelers a 37-36 victory over the Packers the last time the two teams met in Pittsburgh in 2009. Bell didn't even make the opening day 53-man roster this year but the Packers saw enough in Bell to put him on injured reserve as opposed to reaching an injury settlement.

#14 - Anthony Levine (S): There are too many able bodied safeties (Bigby, Burnett, Bush, Collins, Martin, Peprah, and Smith) on the roster for Levine to have a realistic shot of wearing the Green and Gold on Sundays anytime soon.

#13 - Spencer Havner (TE): According to various sources, Havner thought he was the best tight end on the roster in training camp. Havner was obviously wrong because the Packer kept four other tight ends (Crabtree, Finley, Lee, and Quarless) ahead of him. If healthy, Havner has a chance to make the roster in 2011 because he is good on special teams and can fill in at linebacker in a pinch.

#12 - Anthony Smith (S): It still perplexes me why Smith was cut in favor of Aaron Rouse at the end of the 2009 training camp. The only way Smith returns to the Packers in 2011 is if Bigby, Martin, and Peprah are not on the roster.

#11 - Brady Poppinga (OLB): Much like safety, the Packers have a ton of young outside linebackers on the roster (Briggs, Francois, Jones, Walden, and Zombo) so Poppinga's time in Green Bay has most likely come to an end. Furthermore, Poppinga looks better suited to play outside linebacker in a 4-3 defense as opposed to a 3-4 defense. If Poppinga is healthy in 2011 he will be playing somewhere else in a 4-3 defense.

#10 - Marshall Newhouse (G/T): The Packers see Newhouse as a developmental prospect with a chance to be their left tackle of the future. With how well Chad Clifton played in 2010, the only way Newhouse sees the field in 2011 is if the Packers suffer a number of injuries along the offensive line. That means 2012 looks like the year for Newhouse to break into the starting lineup.

#9 - Derrick Martin (S): Much like Jarrett Bush, Martin is a special teams ace that is worth a roster spot for that reason alone despite being a liability on defense. Martin has a chance to make the roster in 2011 but it might come down to whether the Packers want to keep Bigby or Martin. If I were in charge, Martin would get the roster spot over Bigby.

#8 - Brandon Chillar (MLB): When the Packers signed Chillar to a four-year extension that runs through the 2013 season he looked like a perfect combo linebacker and special teams contributor with a secure roster spot. Chillar struggled at outside linebacker in training camp so he can only contribute at middle linebacker and on special teams. With the emergence of Desmond Bishop at middle linebacker, Chillar will have to show ability at outside linebacker in 2011 or possibly look for a new home in 2011.

#7 - Mark Tauscher (RT): The Packers asked Tauscher to rehab in Green Bay and help mentor rookie offensive tackle Bryan Bulaga. Tauscher complied but might have helped Bulaga too much because Bulaga owns the right tackle spot no matter how healthy Tauscher is at the start of 2011. With a hefty base salary in 2011, Tauscher might be informally asked to retire so the Packers are not forced to cut him.

#6 - Morgan Burnett (S): The emergence of Charlie Peprah at safety made up for the loss of promising rookie Morgan Burnett. In 2011 Burnett has to prove that he can stay healthy before the Packers hand him the starting safety spot next to Nick Collins.

#5 - Michael Neal (DE): Showed flashes of being a beast along the defensive line but injuries claimed most of Neal's rookie season. Nose tackle B.J. Raji struggled with injuries in his rookie season and flourished this year in his second season in the NFL. Hopefully Neal can follow a similar path and become a force along the defensive line in 2011.

#4 - Brad Jones (OLB): The emergence of Erik Walden and Frank Zombo shows that whoever lines up at the other outside linebacker spot opposite of Clay Matthews will most likely thrive. When healthy, Jones is a better option than Walden or Zombo but all three players struggled with injuries in 2010. Unless the Packers use an early draft choice on an outside linebacker in the 2011 NFL Draft, whoever is healthiest in 2011 deserves a chance to start opposite Matthews.

#3 - Nick Barnett (MLB): Suffering a season ending injury for the second time in three years has called into question how Barnett fits in long-term in Green Bay. Barnett is signed through the 2012 season with high base salaries of $6 million in 2011 and $6.5 million in 2012. According to various talent evaluators, Barnett does not have the right body type to contribute at outside linebacker. That may be true but the Packers play more exotic defensive packages than the standard 3-4 defense. As a result, Barnett deserves the chance to make the 2011 opening day roster.

#2 - Ryan Grant (RB): The Packers lost Grant for the season in Week 1 in Philadelphia. The Packers’ inability to generate a rushing game in 2010 after they lost Grant for the season shows how valuable Grant is to the Packers' rushing offense. The zone blocking scheme the Packers use favors a running back that makes one cut and hits the hole. Ironically it wasn't till the Packers re-visited Philadelphia in the playoffs that they put together another impressive game on the ground when rookie running back James Starks set a Packer rookie playoff rushing record. The running back depth chart going into 2011 should be: Ryan Grant, James Starks, 2011 draft pick, and John Kuhn. That would leave Brandon Jackson off the roster. I know Jackson has improved his blocking which makes him a good 3rd down back but Jackson showed this season that he is not a starting NFL running back.

#1 - Jermichael Finley (TE): Too tall to cover with a defensive back and too fast to cover with a linebacker, Finley is a physical freak that has a chance to be a real NFL superstar. The Packers geared their 2010 offense around Finley so when he was lost for the season it took the Packers a few weeks to get back in rhythm. It will be interesting to see how the Packers re-integrate Finley in their offensive scheme in 2011.

With how well the back-ups played in place of the aforementioned players, only a handful of the players currently on injured reserve will be on the 2011 Green Bay Packers opening day roster. Here are my current guesses for how likely it is that the 16 players above make the 2011 opening day roster:

No Chance: Bell, Harrell, Levine, and Poppinga

Slight Chance: Havner, Martin, Smith, and Tauscher

Great Chance: Barnett, Chillar, and Newhouse

Lock: Burnett, Finley, Grant, Jones, and Neal

Check back throughout the week for more Super Bowl XLV coverage.

Sunday, September 12, 2010

Initial Rankings of the 2010 Green Bay Packers

The NFL football season is finally upon us. In light of this joyous day, I decided to rank the 2010 Green Bay Packers opening day 53-man roster. People have different ways of ranking the rosters, my rule is that I would trade anyone ranked lower for the person ranked above them for this season alone not counting salary, if I could only keep one of the two players. Just to make sure everyone understands the rankings, if I could only keep one player and I had to choose between the 53rd ranked player (Nick McDonald) or the 52nd ranked player (C.J. Wilson), I would keep Wilson.

The reason I decided to hold salaries neutral is that some players are paid very little money for how much they produce on the field (Clay Mattews) while other players are in the first year of a front loaded contract extension because of the uncapped season (Brandon Chillar). As a result, in the spirit of possibly the only uncapped NFL season we will see going forward, I didn't factor salaries into the rankings.

Finally, keep in mind that Atari Bigby (CB), Al Harris (S), and James Starks (RB) are not included in the rankings because they are on the physically unable to perform list ("PUP"). Look for Bigby, Harris, and Starks in the mid-season rankings if they are on the active roster at that point.

Here are Cheesehead Sports Nut's rankings of the opening day roster of 2010 Green Bay Packers:

#53 - Nick McDonald (G)
A strong candidate for the practice squad, not sure how McDonald made the final roster over the likes of Evan Deitrich-Smith or Breno Giocamini. Apparently some teams were interested in signing McDonald to their active roster, otherwise it makes no sense to give him a roster spot ahead of Deitrich-Smith or Giocamini.

#52 - C.J. Wilson (DE)
Claimed a roster spot ahead of a couple more experience guys (Anthony Toribio and Jarius Wynn). A nice rookie project with a big upside, much like McDonald, makes Wilson look more like a candidate for the practice squad than the 53-man roster.

#51 - Brett Swain (WR)
Looks close to full strength coming off a serious knee injury in 2009. Swain is a solid contributor on special teams, which is why he is the 5th wide receiver on the Packers instead of Ruvell Martin. I know Martin was cut in 2009, but if Swain didn't show flashes of special teams ability in 2009 then Martin would still be on the Packers roster in 2010. If the Packers suffer a significant injury at wide receiver, Jermichael Finley as opposed to Swain, would fill in as the 5th wide receiver so you see why Swain couldn't crack the top 50.

#50 - Quinn Johnson (FB)
Last year with all the hype surrounding Johnson you would think he was the next William Henderson. Johnson has the tools to become a stud blocking back in the NFL but his questionable hands and lackluster performance when he did play in 2009 makes me question why the Packers didn't try to sneak Johnson through waivers.

#49 - Andrew Quarless (TE)
Some scouts compare Quarless to Finley. Besides having similar body types and being slightly immature, there is really no other similarities between Quarless and Finley at this point in their respective careers. The Packers already had four good tight ends (Crabtree, Finley, Lee, and Havner) going into the 2010 NFL Draft so the Quarless pick is a bit of a head scratcher, especially considering his off the field issues at Penn State. The Packers could have used another cornerback or outside linebacker instead of a 5th tight end in 2010.

#48 - Pat Lee (CB)
When you take into account production relative to draft position, it is a three horse race between Justin Harrell, Pat Lee, and Brian Brohm for Ted Thompson's worst draft pick as Green Bay Packers general manager. Who am I kidding, Harrell is the worst pick, but don't sleep on Brohm. Thompson traded defensive tackle Corey Williams to the Cleveland Browns for their 2nd round draft pick in the 2008 NFL Draft. Despite just anointing Aaron Rodgers the starting quarterback on the heels of Brett Favre's retirement, Thompson used the 2nd round pick acquired from the Browns to select perennial underachieving quarterback Brian Brohm. Not only did Brohm get beaten out by Matt Flynn (a 7th round pick in the 2008 NFL Draft) for the back-up quarterback job in 2008, but Thompson passed on selecting quarterback Chad Henne (who went one pick after Brohm). Henne looks like a superstar quarterback in the making for the Miami Dolphins, so you can see why it is a tough call between Brohm and Harrell for Thompson's worst pick. Back to another horrible draft pick, Lee had all the tools coming out of Auburn to be a successful corner back in the NFL. Unfortunately injuries have prevented Lee from playing any meaningful snaps since he was draft in 2008. This year should be make or break for Lee.

#47 - Tom Crabtree (TE)
Everyone is raving about how great of a blocker Crabtree is even with a cast on his hand. Although blocking is important, is it so important that the Packers have twice as many tight ends as running backs on their roster?

#46 - Justin Harrell (DE)
If Harrell wasn't a first round draft pick, his tenure in Green Bay would have ended a few years ago. Instead Harrell is a perennial member of the injured reserve list. If Harrell stays healthy the entire season I will be absolute shocked.

#45 - Jarrett Bush (S)
Scouts rave about his special teams skills, which is great, but Bush has been horrible on defense. There are only so many roster spots that the Packers can allocate to special teams players. 2010 is Bush's 5th year in the NFL, so the chances that he will figure things out on defense are remote. If I were in charge, when Bigby comes off PUP, Bush would be put on the waiver wire.

#44 - Marshall Newhouse (T)
I know this seems a little high for an unproven 6th round draft pick rookie but after one training camp he looks like a serviceable left tackle in the making. At the very least, Newhouse could move over to right tackle once Tauscher retires. For the first time in a long time, the Packers have quality depth on the offensive line. If Clifton or Tauscher were to go down for an extended period of time, the Packers have things covered with Newhouse and Bulaga.

#43 - Derrick Martin (S)
See Jarrett Bush for the discussion of special teams only players...Martin falls in that same category. Martin has struggled so much on defense that the Packers put Charlie Peprah ahead of Martin on the safety depth chart. If Bigby plays this year, the Packers will have to think long and hard about whether to drop Bush or Martin for Bigby.

#42 - Brett Goode (LS)
I don't want to jinx things here, Goode has been great the last two years as the Packers' long snapper. By the way, long snapper has to be the best name for a position in professional sports right?

#41 - Charlie Peprah (S)
The Atlanta Falcons thought so little of Peprah that even with safety issues they did not resign him. Peprah is currently listed as the top backup at safety on the depth chart. If Peprah has to play for any extended period of time the Packers are in trouble so let's just move on.

#40 - Donald Lee (TE)
Lee had a horrible season last year thanks to an incurable case of the drops. After Ted Thompson drafted Quarless, Lee's days looked number in Green Bay. Instead of pouting, Lee took care of his business during training camp much like Scott Wells did last year. Although Lee is not a very flashy player, he earned his spot on the team this year by contributing on special teams and leaving the drops in 2009.

#39 - Frank Zombo (OLB)
Similar to Newhouse, Zombo's ranking feels a little high since Zombo was not even on track to make the team until a few weeks ago, but that is what makes Zombo so attractive. From a far, Zombo feels like a guy with a chip on his shoulder that is going to thrive in the 3-4 if he gets a chance. Since the Packers have no depth at outside linebacker, Zombo better be ready to play early and often because he will get that chance starting today in Philadelphia.

#38 - Korey Hall (FB)
Injuries have derailed what looked like a promising career for the converted linebacker. By the way, with the aforementioned lack of depth at linebacker, why haven't the Packers tried Hall at linebacker similar to what they did with Havner? If Hall can stay healthy, Quinn Johnson's day in Green Bay could be numbered once the Packers have to start filling injury holes throughout the season.

#37 - Brandon Underwood (CB)
Sometimes off the field issues spill on to the field. Underwood looked like the favorite to lock down the nickel corner spot until his legal troubles started in early June. Underwood is still under police investigation and until those charges are resolved, Underwood will struggle.

#36 - Desmond Bishop (MLB)
Not too many people confuse Mr. September (Steve Stricker) with Mr. August (Desmond Bishop). Bishop is the 3-4 equivalent of a backup quarterback. When the starter struggles (A.J. Hawk), fans clamor for the backup to take over. Bishop has been given ample opportunities, but never really capitalized on those opportunities. May be a change of scenery will help Bishop excel. With three guys ahead of Bishop for two spots at middle linebacker, an injury is the only way that Bishop will get on the field in 2010.

#35 - Jason Spitz (G/C)
The Swiss Army Knife of the interior offensive line is slowly getting back to full health. Much like Donald Lee (don't confuse him with Pat Lee because the only reason that Pat Lee is still on the roster is because he was a 2nd round pick), Spitz earned his roster spot this year with a solid training camp. If Scott Wells were to go down with an injury, the Packers have to feel confident about Spitz's ability to step in and thrive at center.

#34 - Tim Masthay (P)
All preseason I thought Aussie Chris Bryan was going to out perform Masthay to earn the starting punting job but I was wrong. Masthay outperformed Bryan when it counted and that is why he made the team instead of Bryan. Before we go any further, it can't be said enough how dumb it was for Ted Thompson to waive Jon Ryan before the 2008 NFL season. Ryan performed well enough to keep his job in 2008 and was arguably the best punter the Packers have had since Craig Hentrich. May be something was going on behind the scenes but when Ryan's father was struggling with cancer the Packers rolled out the red carpet for the Ryan family. For the human element alone, how does Ryan end up getting cut only a few months later?

#33 - Brady Poppinga (OLB)
Every year Poppinga keeps his roster spot despite being closer in age to Favre than Rodgers. Thompson might keep Poppinga just because it is fun to say his name. Try it: Popppppiiiiinnnggga...good times right? All kidding aside, Poppinga has struggled to get a consistent pass rush from outside linebacker but does just enough to keep his roster spot. If Thompson identifies a younger version of Poppinga in the uncapped year, 2010 might be Poppinga's last year in Green Bay.

#32 - A.J. Hawk (MLB)
If Hawk was a 5th round pick as opposed to the 5th pick overall in the 2006 NFL Draft, expectations would be much different. I know you are saying no-duh idiot. I never wanted to be a Hawk apologist but his draft status has clouded how Hawk is evaluated. Hawk makes the regular plays, he just never seems to make the big plays. With a $10 million salary in 2011, Hawk will have to restructure his contract or move his hyperbolic chamber somewhere else in 2011.

#31 - T.J. Lang (G)
One of the pleasant surprises of 2009, Lang was hampered in the off-season by wrist surgery. As a result, Lang is playing his way back into game shape right now. Once fully healthy, Lang would step in on the right side of the line if Sitton or Tauscher suffered a serious injury.

#30 - Sam Shields (CB)
Two years ago Sam Shields was a fast wide receiver with bad hands at the University of Miami, today he is the starting nickel back for a team with Super Bowl aspirations. The Packers use their sub-packages a bunch, so Shields went from being a non-drafted free agent to essentially a starter in less than six months. It is hard to tell whether Shields earned the starting nickel job or whether Underwood and Lee were that bad in training camp. Suffice to say, the Packers are hoping that Al Harris can return healthy Week 7, once their schedule starts to heat up. Shields has a ton to learn in the next few months. If Shields could have slowly worked into the defensive rotation, his electric speed would have been great on punt returns. Unfortunately, as we saw in the preseason, Shields struggles fielding punts so until the Packers have more depth at cornerback Shields needs to focus on defense.

#29 - John Kuhn (FB)
In the preseason Kuhn showed that he can carry the ball which he might have to do since the Packers have only two healthy running backs on their roster. As I said last Sunday, the Packers have to be the only team in the NFL with 4 tight ends, 3 fullbacks, 2 running backs, and 1 nose tackle on their opening day 53-man roster. I know that Pickett can play nose tackle but you get my point. Kuhn looked like trade bait the last few years but with how well he blocks and runs the ball, he deserves to be the starting fullback for the 2010 Green Bay Packers.

#28 - Brandon Jackson (RB)
Blocking on third downs must be one of the hardest things to do in football because every time Jackson steps on the field on 3rd down the announcers rave about how great Jackson blocks. Unfortunately Jackson is going to have to show something more than being a good blocker on third down if he wants to justify being a 2nd round draft pick.

#27 - Mason Crosby (K)
Leg strength has never been an issue for Crosby, it is accuracy from the right hash mark that will determine whether Crosby kicks for the Packers in 2011.

#26 - Matt Flynn (QB)
With Rodgers entrenched as a starter, everyone is clamoring for the Packers to trade Flynn "Hasselbeck-style" for a draft pick. The Packers only got a 3rd round pick for Brett Favre, so what is Flynn's value? I know Favre was towards the end of his career, but what will the Packer get for Flynn, a 5th or 6th round pick...not worth it. Hopefully Rodgers stays healthy all season but that is a big if. In the uncapped year, the Packers should lock Flynn up long term with a relatively modest front end loaded deal. The 30% rule comes into play here because Flynn essentially plays for the league minimum, but Thompson should sign Flynn to a 3 or 4 year contract extension with some up front money. One final note, I stand by my assertion that Flynn should be the holder instead of Masthay. One of my favorite journalists Bob McGinn completely disagreed with me in his chat but I stand by the assertion. If the Packers want to run a fake, Flynn is a quarterback while Mastay is a punter. I understand that special teams guys spend more time together working but something tells me Flynn can get in 15 minutes of work everyday practicing holding without a problem.

#25 - Bryan Bulaga (T)
The Packers were shocked that Bulaga was still there when they picked 23rd in the 2010 NFL Draft. There were a couple guys I liked more than Bulaga at 23 but still think Bulaga is the left guard or left tackle of the future in Green Bay. Of course the guys I wanted the Packers to take at 23 were much sexier than Bulaga but Ted Thompson probably did the right thing taking Bulaga since both of the Packers starting offensive tackles (Clifton and Tauscher) are in their mid-30's. Bulaga's presence really pushed perpetually underachieving left guard Daryn Colledge in the preseason. A hip injury kept Bulaga from beating out Colledge but had a net positive effect on the 2010 Green Bay Packers offensive line.

#24 - Mike Neal (DE)
Neal has the chance to make the biggest jump of anyone on the list by the end of the season. Unfortunately I am not an NFL GM yet (that's right...I said yet...a man can dream) but the day after the 2010 NFL Draft I went over players I would have drafted instead of Neal. Only time will tell whether Neal was worth a second round pick. According to those close to the team, Neal is an absolute beast in weight room, possibly the strongest guy on the team already. Taking Neal in the 2nd round shows the Packers must have known that Jolly was going to be suspended. I don't want to jump to conclusions but if Neal can stay healthy the Packers might have a new Johnny Jolly without the legal issues.

#23 - Morgan Burnett (S)
Aggressive by the Packers to give rookie safety Morgan Burnett jersey #42. Apparently Nick Collins was not happy with the way the Bigby situation was handled in off-season but based on Burnett's play throughout the preseason, even if Atari Bigby was healthy, Burnett would be the starting safety opposite Collins. If Burnett plays in the regular season like he played in the preseason, Collins will get over Bigby's absence quickly and give the Packers the 2010 version of Butler (Collins) and Sharper (Burnett).

#22 - Daryn Colledge (G)
To reiterate what I said under Bulaga's blurb, Colledge had his best training camp this year but that doesn't mean anything till we see whether Colledge can do it in games that matter. Although Bulaga presents formidable competition for Colledge at left guard, in a weird way Bulaga's presence might allow Colledge to flourish. Bulaga being the left tackle of the future in Green Bay allows Colledge to finally stay in one position for the entire season. Last year Colledge was forced to move to left tackle when Chad Clifton was injured and struggled mightily. If Colledge was able to just stay at left guard all season, he would have had a mediocre season last year as opposed to a horrible season. With Bulaga and Newhouse in the fold this year, if Clifton goes down, one of them will step in as opposed to having to move Colledge to left tackle. Colledge is in a contract year and he no longer has any excuses, Colledge has to produce if he wants a big payday.

#21 - James Jones (WR)
Despite not being the fastest wide receiver or the healthiest wide receiver, Jones is a valuable part of the Packers aerial assault. With Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, and Jermicahel Finley garnering extra attention, Jones is poised for a breakout year. Much like the aforementioned Colledge, Jones is in the final year of his rookie contract so a big year in 2010 could lead to a big payday for Jones.

#20 - Brandon Chillar (MLB)
Midway through the preseason the Packers finally tried Chillar at outside linebackers, something I have been talking about since mid-2009. Unfortunately Chillar did not preform well at outside linebacker so they moved him back to middle linebacker. Last year Chillar played all over the field, even playing a little safety in the "psycho" package. Although Hawk is considered a "starting middle linebacker" along with Nick Barnett in the base 3-4 defense, Chillar has been a jack-of-all-trades for the Packers and gets more snaps than Hawk when the Packers go to their sub packages on defense. Look for Chillar's snaps to increase as the season progresses if he can show any kind of rushing ability.

#19 - Jordy Nelson (WR)
As a result of losing at home in overtime to the New York Giants in the NFC Championship, a game I attended with my good buddy Fernando, the Packers held the 30th pick in the 2008 NFL Draft. Brett Favre "retired" and the Packers just turned the keys to franchise over to Aaron Rodgers. Instead of taking Dustin Keller (an athletic tight end out of Purdue) with the 30th pick in the 2008 NFL Draft, Thompson traded out of the first round. At the time, the decision seemed to make no sense. The Packers had a chance to get a dynamic tight end that could serve as a safety blanket for Aaron Rodgers in his first season after taking over for the legendary Brett Favre. The Packers got an early 2nd round pick and a 4th round pick for their late 1st round pick. With the early 2nd round pick Ted Thompson took Jordy Nelson. As usual, Thompson packaged the 4th round pick from the Jets in another trade to move up to get Jeremy Thompson (no relation to Ted) who showed promise at outside linebacker in the 3-4 before he was forced to retire with a neck injury. At the time it looked silly to draft Nelson because the Packers had Jennings, Driver, and Jones. Now that decision is looking wise because Nelson and Jones are probably the best 3rd and 4th wide receivers in the NFL. Furthermore, Ted Thompson grabbed Jermichael Finley in the 3rd round...a much better option than Keller at a much cheaper price.

#18 - Brad Jones (OLB)
Funny that the Packers would rather have Jones on the cheap then accommodate Aaron Kampman. Yes, Aaron Kampman looked like a fish out of water in the 3-4 but the Packers only play a true 3-4 about a third to a half of their snaps on defense. Kampman was too good for too long for the Packers to get nothing in return for him. If the Packers wanted to part ways with Kampman, Ted Thompson should have traded Kampman at the trade deadline last year, but as we know that didn't happen. Instead the Packers held on to Kampman, he blew out his knee and left via free agency for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Instead of getting something for Kampman, the Packers got nothing. Jones has a chance to be more successful than Kampman in the 3-4 but the question is whether Jones will be healthy enough to show anything. Jones missed most of the preseason and his production (or lack there of) will go a long way to determining how well the Packers look this year on defense.

#17 - Mark Tauscher (T)
It is no mistake that while Tauscher was rehabbing his knee for the first half of 2009, the Packers offensive line struggled. Ted Thompson thought Allen Barbre could take over the right tackle position with Tauscher unsigned rehabbing his knee but Thompson was sorely mistaken. Barbre struggled and if T.J. Lang was not able to serve as a rookie stopgap, there is no way that Aaron Rodgers would have made it through 2009 healthy. Even with how well the Packers offensive line played the second half of 2009, the Packers still tied for the league lead in sacks allowed. Although Tauscher is getting a little long in the tooth (much like his glorious neck beard), he provides much needed stability along the offensive line.

#16 - Tramon Williams (CB)
After finally coming to his senses and signing his first round tender, Williams was up and down in the preseason. Against the Colts in the preseason, Williams was victimized repeatedly which made the decision to put Al Harris on the PUP list somewhat questionable. Yes, Harris is only about 10 months into working his way back from a complete knee reconstruction but Williams still does not look like a starting NFL cornerback. Williams thrived as a nickel back but when given the starting reigns struggled. Teams are going to try to pick on Shields and Williams early and often, the question is how they will handle those challenges?

#15 - Scott Wells (C)
Wells is the definition of a good teammate. Instead of pouting in 2009 when the Packers took away his starting job for no good reason, Wells continued to be very professional. There was even some talk that with how good Evan Dietrich-Smith looked at center that Wells was on the trading block because the Packers were all set with Spitz and Dietrich-Smith. Luckily a trade never came to fruition because Spitz got hurt again and Wells was one of the best offensive lineman for the Packers in 2009. Nothing really changed heading into 2010, Wells continues to play well on a consistent basis.

#14 - Chad Clifton (T)
Although the Packers signed Clifton to a three-year contract in March, the writing is on the wall that Bulaga (or Newhouse) is the left tackle of the future in Green Bay. As expected, Clifton has been a classy guy throughout the entire off-season helping Bulaga get acclimated. As long as Clifton can stay healthy, he owns the left tackle spot in Green Bay. Unfortunately Clifton has had injury troubles the last few years. Is this the year that he finally breaks down for good? Hopefully not, but if Clifton does, the Packers finally have a left tackle of the future waiting in the wings.

#13 - B.J. Raji (NT)
Health is going to be the determining factor of whether Raji is a decent nose tackle or a once every decade nose tackle. Coming out of Boston College, Raji looked to be the perfect nose tackle to build the 3-4 defense around. Unfortunately injuries hampered Raji through the first half of 2009 and he never really recovered. Going into 2010 the Packers fully committed to Raji as their nose tackle of the future by moving Ryan Pickett to defensive end. Despite his injury history, the Packers do not have a dedicated nose tackle on the roster besides Raji (although Pickett could easily move back into that spot). As a quick side note, the Packers selected defensive end Michael Neal one spot before the Baltimore Ravens took massive nose tackle Terrance Cody in the 2nd round of the 2010 NFL Draft. The Ravens play the perfect 3-4 defense and much like the Packers are known to have a great scouting department. There is a chance that Cody eats his way out of the league but Cody looks like the perfect nose tackle for the 3-4 defense. The Packers have more versatility with Raji and Neal then Raji and Cody this year but let's check back in 5 years to see how things shake out with Raji, Neal, and Cody.

#12 - Donald Driver (WR)
It feels sacrilegious to have Driver outside of the Top 10 but that also shows how much talent the Packers have on their roster in 2010. Driver's tough childhood and rags to riches story is heartwarming to even the cruelest person on earth. The Packers rewarded Driver with a contract extension that will hopefully see him finish his career as the Packers all-time leader in every receiving category.

#11 - Cullen Jenkins (DE)
Jenkins was lost for the season due to injury early in 2008 and the Packers struggled to a 6-10 record. It seems simplistic, but with Jolly suspended for the season, Jenkins is the only starter along the defensive line that will be able to get a consistent pass rush. Plus, the Packers have no NFL proven depth after Jenkins, Pickett, and Raji. In a contract year Jenkins will want to put up good sack and tackles for loss numbers but the 3-4 is set-up to get linebackers sacks as opposed to defensive lineman. In the uncapped year the Packers should consider giving Jenkins a similar front end loaded contract extension that they gave Pickett so that Jenkins will fully buy into the defensive scheme without trying to freelance to get stats in a contract year.

#10 - Josh Sitton (G)
The Packers have not had a guard with this much talent since the departure of Rivera and Whale. The sky is the limit for the football version of Herbert Kohler...check out Josh Sitton and check out Herbert Kohler...pretty similar likeness huh? Sitton was the Packers best offensive lineman in 2009 and looks poised for a big contract extension if he can continue that play in 2010.

#9 - Nick Barnett (MLB)
Knee injuries are starting to limit Barnett's ability to practice and stay on the field during games. That said, Barnett is still the best available middle linebacker on the roster by a mile. As a quick side note, it is amazing that Barnett is able to perform so well on the field with a samurai sword underneath his shoulder pads right? Okay that was a poor attempt at a joke about Barnett's odd celebration but thankfully Barnett has scaled back the length of how much he celebrates with his sword. Hopefully Barnett does not scale back his play on the field. Chillar and Hawk are serviceable at middle linebacker but Barnett is the superstar of the group.

#8 - Ryan Pickett (DE)
Despite being the prototypical nose tackle for a 3-4 defense, the Packers decided to move Pickett to defensive end in order to see whether Raji can play nose tackle. Instead of complaining about the position change, Pickett moved to defensive end. Pickett does have $25 million reasons to change positions but he still could have pulled an Albert Haynesworth. Instead, Pickett started learning the new position and didn't complain. Furthermore, with Raji's spotty injury history, there is a chance that Pickett will move back to nose tackle at some point this year anyhow. No matter where Pickett plays on the defensive line, he will be a person that opposing teams will have to account for.

#7 - Ryan Grant (RB)
In my inaugural Wednesday What Happened post, I recounted how Ted Thompson uncharacteristically relented and gave Ryan Grant a contract extension. May be I was a little hard on Ryan Grant, it is not his fault that management gave into his contract demands. Grant had 2,456 combined rushing yards in 2008 and 2009, which is 7th most in NFL over that time period so he is producing on the field a a high level and justifying the contact. My disdain is more with management, they usually do not give in to contract demands...think Mike McKenzie, Javon Walker, Darren Sharper, and Ryan Longwell. Also Grant is due a big payment in 2011 because of accrued stats, a move the Packers don't normally do. Grant has proven to be a quality running back in the zone blocking system. Grant makes one cut, hits the hole and doesn't fumble the ball often. The biggest knock against Grant is that he doesn't produce big plays but with the dynamic passing attack the Packers have, Grant just needs to stay healthy and hold on to the ball.

#6 - Nick Collins (S)
When Collins was drafted in the 2nd round of the 2005 NFL Draft he took #36. Initially it made me think "That's a bold move Cotton" (movie quote from Dodgeball). #36 is LeRoy Butler's number, which is sacred in Green Bay. Five years late, Collins has done right by the #36. Even Butler would have to admit he is proud of the way Collins has carried on the #36 tradition at safety. By the way, in Ted Thompson's first draft as Packers general manager he got Rodgers in the 1st round and Collins in the 2nd round. I am sure the Rodgers pick pissed Favre off and started some of the friction between Favre and management, but five years later those picks are paying off in a big way.

#5 - Jermichael Finley (TE)
The sky is the limit for Finley, in fact Finley is his biggest enemy at this point. I don't know if a non-quarterback has gotten this much pre-season hype in a long time. If you read what the national media are writing about Finley you would think he is a cross between Tony Gonzalez and Jerry Rice. Pundits expect Finley to put up wide receiver number from the tight end position. Don't get me wrong, Finley has all the tools to be a great tight end, he just needs to keep his ego in check. Having guys like Rodgers, Jennings, and Driver should help keep Finley grounded but it is going to be an uphill battle. Finley (and his wife) are prodigious tweeters, if you want to get a laugh, check them out.

#4 - Clay Matthews (OLB)
Matthews is one of the few players Thompson has traded up in the draft to select during his tenure in Green Bay (Thompson also traded up to select Burnett earlier in the 3rd round of the 2010 NFL Draft). After one season, it looks like a great decision by Thompson to trade up to select Matthews. Some pundits think Matthews' 10 sack rookie season was a flash in the pan, a one year aberration. Those people claim that once defenses figure him out, they will be able to scheme away from him. I vehemently disagree. There is a chance that if Jones struggles on the other side that Matthews will be double teamed often. No matter what, Matthews is too talented to be neutralized, even with the prospects of facing more double teams.

#3 - Greg Jennings (WR)
The 51st person taken in the 2006 NFL Draft (one pick after the Minnesota Vikings took perennial underachieving offensive lineman Ryan Cook) has been a stud wide receiver the last few seasons. Despite Devin Hester and Maurice Jones-Drew going just a few picks after Jennings, the Packers have their go to receiver for the next decade in Jennings. Although Jennings' stats dipped a little bit in 2009, with the emergence of Jermichael Finley, Jennings is poised for a huge season in 2010.

#2 - Charles Woodson (CB)
Its hard to be the NFL defensive player of the year and still not get ranked #1 on your own team, but Aaron Rodgers is just that good right now. Back to Woodson, last year he had a banner year and the Packers rewarded him with an extension that should keep him in a Packers uniform until he retires. The aforementioned contract binds Woodson and the Packers for five more years. Woodson will be in his late 30's by the end of the deal so he will most likely have moved to safety for the final few years of the contract. That is what is so impressive about Woodson since joining the Packers, he finally lived up to the promise that he showed in college at Michigan. Woodson is so talented that he is one of only a few defensive players that can play without a specific position. Although Woodson is technically a cornerback, the Packers will use him as a hybrid cornerback/safety depending on the specific play that is called for the rest of his career in Green Bay.

#1 - Aaron Rodgers (QB)
The 2010 Green Bay Packers are getting a ton of positive publicity heading into 2010 based in large part on the talent of Aaron Rodgers. The 2010 Packers are almost getting a little too much hype for my liking, but luckily Rodgers recently said he thinks this year is different than last year. Rodgers claims that last year's confidence was a false confidence. I am not too sure how you distinguish between a real and a fake confidence, but hopefully this year is not another year of false confidence as well. If Rodgers can stay healthy the entire season, which is a huge if, the Packers are the team to beat in the NFC North. Ted Thompson took a ton of heat for drafting Aaron Rodgers with his first pick as general manager of the Green Bay Packers. With how Rodgers played the last two years, the pick is more than justified and the chief reason why the 2010 Green Bay Packers are one of the most dangerous teams in the NFL. Just to put in perspective how well the Packers have been at the quarterback position for almost two decades, here are the number of starting QBs in the NFC North since 1993: 2 for the Packers, 14 for the Vikings, 19 for the Lions, and 21 for the Bears (most in the NFL). Let me end the rankings with the understatement/cliche of the year, the 2010 Green Bay Packers are in good hands with the Aaron Rodgers as their quarterback.

Sunday, September 5, 2010

2010 Green Bay Packers Initial 53-Man Roster

As of Saturday morning the Green Bay Packers had 75 guys on their active roster*. By league mandate, Green Bay Packers general manager Ted Thompson had to cut that number to 53 by Saturday night. In order to get down to the final 53-man roster, Thompson had to do something with 22 guys. Thompson cut 20 guys** and placed 2 guys on injured reserve***. Sorry to the 22 guys that did not make the 53-man roster, I know it is not a Sunday Funday in your households.

Sorry for that quick downer, congrats to the 53 guys that made the opening day roster for the 2010 Green Bay Packers, here is a quick breakdown by position:

Offense (26):

QB (2): Aaron Rodgers and Matt Flynn

RB (2): Ryan Grant and Brandon Jackson

FB (3): Korey Hall, John Kuhn, and Quinn Johnson

WR (5): Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, James Jones, Jordy Nelson, and Brett Swain

TE (4): Jermichael Finley, Donald Lee, Tom Crabtree, and Andrew Quarless

OT (4): Chad Clifton, Mark Tauscher, Bryan Bulaga, and Marshall Newhouse

OG (4): Josh Sitton, Daryn Colledge, T.J. Lang, and Nick McDonald

C (2): Scott Wells and Jason Spitz


Defense (24):

DE (5): Cullen Jenkins, Ryan Pickett, Mike Neal, Justin Harrell, and C.J. Wilson

NT (1): B.J. Raji

OLB (4): Clay Matthews, Brad Jones, Brady Poppinga, and Frank Zombo

ILB (4): Nick Barnett, A.J. Hawk, Brandon Chillar, and Desmond Bishop

CB (6): Charles Woodson, Tramon Williams, Sam Shields, Brandon Underwood, Jarrett Bush, and Pat Lee

S (4): Nick Collins, Morgan Burnett, Charlie Peprah, and Derrick Martin


Specialists (3):

K: Mason Crosby

P: Tim Masthay

LS: Brett Goode


Quick Thoughts:
As usual, not too many big surprises. With how much information we have at our finger tips, none of the roster decisions were shocking. The only mild surprise was Thompson cutting Kregg Lumpkin, leaving the Packers with only have two true running backs on their opening day roster. Besides that, Thompson keeping Crabtree instead of Havner shows that Thompson values blocking over versatility at the tight end position.

Not to belabor the point, but I am still not too sure why the Packers want to carry so many tight ends and fullbacks while carrying so few running backs and nose tackles. The Packers have to be the only team in the NFL with 4 tight ends, 3 fullbacks, 2 running backs, and 1 nose tackle. Running back and defensive line are normally positions of strength for teams. If Ryan Grant or B.J. Raji get seriously injured, the Packers' Super Bowl aspirations will take a big hit.

The Green Bay Packers lead the NFL with 5 of the 20 players they cut (as of Sunday, September 5, 2010) getting claimed by other NFL teams. The players that were claimed by other teams were: Evan Dietrich-Smith (C) by the Seattle Seahawks, Spencer Havner (TE/LB) by the Detroit Lions, Kregg Lumpkin (RB) by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Cyril Obiozor (LB) by the Arizona Cardinals, and Anthony Toribio (NT) by the Kansas City Chiefs. Other NFL teams knew that Thompson had more than 53 players he wanted to keep so rather than making a trade, they forced Thompson's hand and tried to get one of the cut players through the waiver wire instead of trading with Thompson.

Of the 5 guys claimed, Thompson is going to regret cutting Lumpkin and Toribio the most. Lumpkin has experience in the Green Bay Packers zone blocking scheme having played for the Packers in 2008. Not only did Toribio want to stay with the Packers so bad that he gladly would have joined the practice squad, but with the Packers thin at nose tackle and the inevitable breakdown of Justin Harrell looming, Thompson is going to wish he kept the talented Toribio.

Once the dust settled, the Packers finalized their 8 person practice squad: Chastin West (WR), Chad Campbell (T), Breno Giacomini (T), Graham Harrell (QB), James Johnson (RB), Rob Francois (LB), Maurice Simpkins (LB), and Anthony Levine (S).

Thompson kept 18 players that have one season or less of NFL experience: 11 players have never played in an NFL game**** and 7 have played only one season in the NFL*****. That means 33% of the 2010 Green Bay Packers roster is comprised of "rookies". A ton continues to be written about how the Packers are one of the youngest teams in the NFL. This year, the Packers are not only a young team, but they are a very inexperienced team at certain crucial defensive positions: outside linebacker, defensive back, and safety.

The Packers kept three undrafted free agents (McDonald, Shields, and Zombo) for the first time since 2002. The Packers would be better off with a few veterans in place of some of the aforementioned undrafted rookies, but as we know, that is not the Ted Thompson way.

Despite having no clue (when has that ever stopped me) before, I thought I would close the post by speculating on the last 5 players kept on offense, the last 5 players kept on defense, and the last 5 players cut by Thompson:

- Last 5 players kept on offense: Brett Swain (WR), Tom Crabtree (TE), Marshall Newhouse (T), Nick McDonald (G), and Quinn Johnson (FB).

- Last 5 players kept on defense: Justin Harrell (DL), C.J. Wilson (DL), Frank Zombo (OLB), Jarrett Bush (DB), and Pat Lee (DB).

- Last 5 players cut: Anthony Toribio (NT), Breno Giacomini (T), Kregg Lumpkin (RB), Spencer Havner (TE/LB), and Jarius Wynn (DE).

Hope everyone has a Sunday Funday! Check back next Sunday before the Green Bay Packers' season opener in Philadelphia against the upstart Eagles to see my rankings of the entire opening day roster for the 2010 Green Bay Packers ranked 53 to 1.


Footnotes:
* = In order to conform with league mandates, the Packers trimmed their roster for 80 to 75 earlier in the week by cutting Shawn Gore (WR), putting Quinn Porter (RB) on injured reserve, and placing Atari Bigby (RB), Al Harris (CB), & James Starks (RB) on the physically unable to perform ("PUP") list. Being placed on the PUP list means that Bigby, Harris, and Starks are not allowed to participate in team activities till Week 7 of the 2010 NFL season. Starting Week 7, Thompson has three weeks to: activate them, trade them, waive them, or place them on injured reserve. Finally, Johnny Jolly is on the reserve/suspended list until at the least the Super Bowl because of his Purple Drank fiasco in Houston, TX.

** = Chris Bryan (P), Chris Campbell (T), Jason Chery (WR), D.J. Clark (CB), Evan Dietrich-Smith (C/G), Charles Dillon (WR), Robert Francois (LB), Breno Giacomini (T), Graham Harrell (QB), Spencer Havner (TE), Alex Joseph (LB), Anthony Levine (S), Kregg Lumpkin (RB), Cyril Obiozor (LB), Maurice Simpkins (LB), Ronald Talley (DE), Anthony Toribio (NT), Chastin West (WR), Patrick Williams (WR), and Jarius Wynn (DE).

*** = Allen Barbre (G/T) and Will Blackmon (S).

**** = Bryan Bulaga (T), Morgan Burnett (S), Tom Crabtree (TE), Tim Masthay (P), Nick McDonald (G), Mike Neal (DE), Marshall Newhouse (G/T), Andrew Quarless (TE), Sam Shields (CB), C.J. Wilson (DE), and Frank Zombo (LB).

***** = Quinn Johnson (FB), Brad Jones (OLB), T.J. Lang (T/G), Pat Lee (CB), Clay Matthews (OLB), B.J. Raji (NT), and Brandon Underwood (CB).

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

2011 Madden Green Bay Packer Player Ratings

Tuesday, August 10, 2010 was the official release date of Madden 2011 by EA Sports. By the way, why is it called Madden 2011 instead of Madden 2010? Anyhow, the annual release of Madden is a special day for football and video game afficaiandos (like myself) around the world.

The annual Madden release leads to trash talking amongst NFL players. NFL players get so worked up about their ratings that they have gone so far as to petition EA Sports to improve their ratings. Here are some highlights from the 2011 Madden Green Bay Packer player ratings:

The 10 highest rated Green Bay Packers in Madden 2011 are:
- Charles Woodson: 97
- Aaron Rodgers: 94
- Nick Collins: 93
- Greg Jennings: 90
- Donald Driver: 89
- Ryan Grant: 88
- Nick Barnett: 87
- Cullen Jenkins: 87
- Clay Matthews: 86
- Jermichael Finley: 86

Ratings Jennings 90 and Nick Barnett 87 feels a little low, especially with Matthews and Finley getting a rating of 86. If you buy into all of the preseason hype, Rodgers should be a 99. Obviously I don't think Rodgers should be a 99 but with all the hype he is getting, 94 almost feels low.


The 10 lowest rated Green Bay Packers in Madden 2011 are:
- Marshall Newhouse: 64
- Will Blackmon: 63
- Jarrett Bush: 63
- Anthony Toribio: 63
- Spencer Havner: 62
- Justin Harrell: 62
- Jarius Wynn: 60
- Allen Barbre: 60
- Matt Flynn: 57
- Tim Masthay: 49

It is only fair that the lowest rated Packer is a punter, their punting game has been horrible since cutting Jon Ryan right before the start of the 2008 regular season. Besides that, even though Harrell has been hurt since entering the NFL there is no way he should be ranked behind Newhouse, Blackmon, Bush, and Toribio. I know I am splitting hairs over a 64 rating v. a 62 rating but this might be my last chance to give Harrell a backhanded compliment.


The 5 fastest Green Bay Packers in Madden 2011 are:
- Greg Jennings: 93
- Will Blackmon: 92
- Tramon Williams: 90
- Charles Woodson: 89
- Nick Collins: 89

Madden did not include Sam Shields on the Packers roster otherwise the Packers would have had at least one player with a 99 speed rating. Only having 3 players with a speed rating of 90 or higher is a little disconcerting though.


The 5 slowest Green Bay Packers in Madden 2011 are:
- Scott Wells: 58
- Evan Dietrich-Smith: 56
- Chad Clifton: 55
- Mark Tauscher: 52
- Jason Spitz: 52

No big surprises here, offensive lineman are almost always the slowest players on the team.


Only 6 Green Bay Packers had an awareness rating of 90 or higher in Madden 2011:
- Charles Woodson: 98
- Al Harris: 97
- Chad Clifton: 93
- Mark Tauscher: 91
- Greg Jennings: 90
- Donald Driver: 90

If I were in charge of the Madden franchise (I hope you are reading this EA Sports), Aaron Rodgers would have a 99 awareness rating solely for how well he handled the whole Brett Favre saga. Rodgers took a prominent leadership role in short order after taking over for a living legend in Green Bay. Add in that Rodgers is the closest thing to the perfect team player you will ever find in professional sports and Madden missed the boat on this one. There is no way that Rodgers should have an 84 awareness rating.


The Green Bay Packers with an awareness rating of lower than 50 in Madden 2011 are:
- Allen Barbre: 48
- Jarius Wynn: 46
- Anthony Toribio: 45
- Tim Masthay: 45
- Evan Dietrich-Smith: 45
- Andrew Quarless: 40
- James Starks: 37
- Marshall Newhouse: 37
- Morgan Burnett: 29

Brandon Underwood barely missed this list by getting a 52 awareness rating. I am guessing if EA Sports could factor in Blackmon's recent transgressions he would overtake Burnett for the lowest awareness rating. Speaking of Burnett, it is never a good thing when one of your projected starters (with Bigby out injured) has the lowest awareness rating on your entire roster.

Sunday, August 8, 2010

Sunday Funday - Another Guess at the 2010 Green Bay Packers 53-man Roster

An NFL roster is always a work in progress. On Sunday, September 12, 2010 the Green Bay Packers open their 2010 season on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles. Although the Packers will only have 45 guys on their game day roster, they will have 53 players on their active roster.

Starting in April before the 2010 NFL Draft, I took a look at how the Packers roster heading into the draft. After the 2010 NFL Draft, I gave my first shot at how I thought the 53-man roster would shake out.

Over the next month I will take a number of stabs at how I think the final 53-man roster for the 2010 Green Bay Packers will look when they face the Eagles. Keep in mind this is not how I would select the team, this is how I think Packers general manager Ted Thompson will select the team.

Before we go any further, let me define a few terms:
- IR stands for injured reserve. A player placed on IR is unable to play for the Packers for the entire 2010 NFL season. If the Packers reach an injury settlement with a player on IR, that player can sign with another NFL team for the 2010 season.
- PUP stands for physically unable to perform. A player placed on PUP is ineligible for the 53-man roster until after week 6 of the regular season.
- PS stands for practice squad. The Packers are allowed to carry 8 players on their practice squad (9 if the Packers carry an international player). There are certain rules that determine whether a player is eligible for the practice squad. In order to be placed on the practice squad a player cannot have played in nine regular season games, been on an active NFL roster for an entire year, or have spent more than two seasons on the same team's practice squad.
- CUT is pretty self explanatory.

Here is my first training camp crack at how I think Ted Thompson will pick the final 53-man roster for the 2010 Green Bay Packers:

Offense: 26 (PUP: 1, PS: 5, and CUT: 8)

Quarterback: 2 (PS:1)
Aaron Rodgers
Matt Flynn
PS: Graham Harrell

Running Back: 3 (PUP: 1 and PS: 1)
Ryan Grant
Brandon Jackson
Kregg Lumpkin
PUP: James Starks
PS: Quinn Porter

Fullback: 2 (PS: 1)
Korey Hall
John Kuhn
PS: Quinn Johnson

Tight End: 4 (PS: 1)
Jermichael Finley
Donald Lee
Spencer Havner
Andrew Quarless
PS: Tom Crabtree

Wide Receiver: 5 (CUT: 5)
Donald Driver
Greg Jennings
Jordy Nelson
James Jones
Brett Swain
CUT: Chastin West, Patrick Williams, Charles Dillon, Shawn Gore, and Jason Chery

Offensive Line: 10 (PS: 1 and CUT: 3)
Chad Clifton
Daryn Colledge
Scott Wells
Josh Sitton
Mark Tauscher
Bryan Bulaga
Jason Spitz
T.J. Lang
Breno Giacomini
Marshall Newhouse
PS: Chris Campbell
CUT: Allen Barbre, Evan Dietrich-Smith, and Nick McDonald


Defense: 24 (PUP: 2, PS: 3, and CUT: 7)

Defensive Line: 6 (PS: 1 and CUT: 2)
Ryan Pickett
B.J. Raji
Cullen Jenkins
Mike Neal
Justin Harrell
Jarius Wynn
PS: C.J. Wilson
CUT: Anthony Toribio and Ronald Talley

Linebacker: 8 (PS: 1 and CUT: 3)
Clay Matthews
A.J. Hawk
Nick Barnett
Brandon Chillar
Brady Poppinga
Desmond Bishop
Brad Jones
Cyril Obiozor
PS: Frank Zombo
CUT: Robert Francois, Alex Joseph, and Maurice Simpkins

Defensive Back: 10 (PUP: 2, PS: 1, and CUT: 2)
Charles Woodson
Tramon Williams
Brandon Underwood
Pat Lee
Sam Shields
Nick Collins
Morgan Burnett
Derrick Martin
Charlie Peprah
Will Blackmon
PUP: Al Harris and Atari Bigby
PS: Anthony Levine
CUT: D.J. Clark and Jarrett Bush


Special Teams: 3 (CUT: 1)

Kicker: 1
Mason Crosby

Punter: 1 (CUT: 1)
Chris Bryan
CUT: Tim Masthay

Long Snapper: 1
Brett Goode

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Wednesday What Happened - Ryan Grant's Contract Extension

Welcome to the inaugural "Wednesday What Happened" column where I look back at an organizational decision made by a Cheesehead sports team to see how that decision currently impacts the team. "Wednesday What Happened" and "Sunday Funday" will be two regular columns going forward with a smattering of other columns, chats, mailbags and other fun mixed in. If you missed the inaugural "Sunday Funday" article where I looked back at the Super Bowl XXXI, the Packers' last Super Bowl win, click here.

Onto Ryan Grant. Rewind to the Green Bay Packers' 2008 training camp. As the Packers were trying to deal with the Brett Favre saga, Ryan Grant remained unsigned. Grant was coming off an unexpectedly impressive first season with the Green Bay Packers thanks in large part to Brett Favre's impressive 2007 regular season performance (356 completions on 535 attempts for 4,155 yards, 28 touchdowns, 15 interceptions for a passer rating of 95.7) which forced teams to defend the pass and gave Grant huge running lanes over the last 9 games of the 2007 regular season.

Going into the 2008 season Grant was an "exclusive-rights free agent" but was unwilling to sign the one-year tender offered by the Packers. ESPN reported that in lieu of the one-year tender the Packers countered with a back end loaded six-year contract that paid Grant $2 million in the first year (source).

The Green Bay Packers almost never budge when players holdout for more money (think Mike McKenzie and Javon Walker) or refuse to take a pay cut (think Darren Sharper and Ryan Longwell). Grant and his agent Alan Herman knew that but tried anyway because the Packers had three things working against them.

First, the Packers did not have a viable starting running back on the roster besides Grant. The other running backs in camp at the time were Vernand Morency (released August 30, 2008), Noah Herron (released August 30, 2008), DeShawn Wynn (his injury in 2007 gave Grant the chance to star and flourish...some might argue without that injury Grant would be launching his modeling career as opposed to earning millions as an NFL running back) and Kregg Lumpkin (at the time was an undrafted rookie known for getting injured).

Second, the Packers were were preoccupied with the Favre saga. The Favre saga was such a PR nightmare that the Packers didn't want more public unrest.

Third, the Packers were handing the keys to the franchise to Aaron Rodgers, a promising but then unproven quarterback at the time. Having a quality starting running back was essential to help Rodgers flourish as a starting NFL quarterback.

In the end the Packer relented and signed Grant to a lucrative 4-year contract. I will first detail the initial terms of the contract. Then I will show how much money Grant has earned half way through the contract. Finally I will look at how much Grant stands to earn in 2010 and 2011 (spoiler alert...its a ton of money, Grant would be one of the highest paid Packers in 2011). Here are the initial contract terms:

Salary and Roster Bonus:
2008: $750,000 base salary and $3.5 million roster bonus
2009: $750,000 base salary and $2.75 million roster bonus due March of 2009
2010: $3 million base salary and $1.25 million roster bonus due March of 2010
2011: $3.5 million base salary and $1.75 million roster bonus due March of 2011

Easily Attained Incentives:
- $31,250 for every regular season game Grant appears in over the life of the contract (can earn up to $500,000 a year or $2 million over the life of the contract). This will be referred to as an "appearance bonus" throughout the rest of the article.
- $250,000 "off-season workout bonus" in the final three years of the contract.

Peer Related Incentives:
- If Grant finishes in the top 10 in the NFC in rushing in any year of the deal, he earns $150,000.
- If Grant finishes in the top 5 in the NFC in rushing in any year of the deal, he earns $500,000.
- If Grant is selected to the Pro Bowl in any year of the deal, he earns $250,000.

Yearly Rushing Yardage Contract Escalators:*
- If Grant rushes for 1,000 yards in a season, he earns an additional $500,000 in "base salary" the following season.
- If Grant rushes for 1,250 yards in a season, he earns an additional $1.5 million in "base salary" the following season.
- If Grant rushes for 1,500 yards or more in a season, he earns an additional $2.5 million in "base salary" the following season.
* = only apply to the first three years of the contract.

Final Bonus:
- If Grant rushes for between 3,600 and 4,099 yards over the life of the contract, he earns an additional $2 million incentive bonus at the end of the contract in 2011.
- If Grant rushes for 4,100 or more yards over the life of the contract, he earns an additional $4 million incentive bonus at the end of the contract in 2011.


Grant has already earned $10.15 million: $4.9 million in 2008 and $5.25 million in 2009

In 2008, Grant appeared in 16 regular season games contributing 312 rushing attempts for 1,203 rushing yards (3.9 average yards per carry), 4 touchdowns and 4 fumbles (3 lost). As a result, Grant earned $4.9 million in 2008:
- $3.5 million roster bonus
- $750,000 base salary
- $500,000 for appearing in 16 games
- $150,000 for finishing 6th in the NFC in rushing (source)
- $500,000 will be added to Grant's 2009 base salary for rushing for over 1,000 yards in 2008.

In 2009, Grant appeared in 16 regular season games contributing 282 rushing attempts for 1,253 rushing yards (4.4 average yards per carry), 11 touchdowns and 0 fumbles. As a result, Grant earned 5.25 million in 2009:
- $2.75 million roster bonus
- $750,000 base salary
- $500,000 for rushing over 1,000 yards in 2008
- $250,000 off-season workout bonus
- $500,000 for appearing in 16 games
- $500,000 for finishing 3rd in the NFC in rushing (source)
- $1.5 million will be added to Grant's 2010 base salary for rushing for over 1,250 yards in 2009.


Grant CAN earn $20.5 million more: $7.25 million in 2010 and $13.25 million in 2011

Before Grant ever takes a snap in 2010 he will be in line to earn $6 million:
- $1.25 million roster bonus
- $3 million base salary
- $1.5 million for rushing over 1,250 yards in 2009
- $250,000 off-season workout bonus.

Grant can easily earn another $1.25 million in 2010:
- $500,000 for finishing in the top 5 in rushing in the NFC in 2010
- $500,000 in appearance bonuses
- $250,000 if he makes the 2010 Pro Bowl.

That means Grant could easily earn $6.5 million and possibly $7.25 million if Grant has a Pro Bowl year. Grant can also add anywhere from $500,000 to $2.5 million to his 2011 base salary (rushing for 1,000 yards in 2010 earns him $500,000 more in 2011, rushing for 1,250 yards in 2010 earns him $1.5 million more in 2011 and rushing for over 1,500 yards in 2010 earns him $2.5 million more in 2011).


Before Grant ever takes a snap in 2011 (assuming he is still on the roster) he will be in line to earn $5.5 million:
- $1.75 million roster bonus
- $3.5 million base salary
- $250,000 in off-season workout bonus.

Grant has another $7.75 million in achievable incentives:
- $4 million incentive bonus at the end of the contract if Grant rushes for over 4,100 yards over the life of the contract
- $2.5 million if he rushes for over 1,500 yards in 2010
- $500,000 for finishing in the top 5 in rushing in the NFC in 2011
- $500,000 in appearance bonuses
- $250,000 if he makes the 2011 Pro Bowl.


Final Thoughts:
What have the Green Bay Packers gotten for their $10.15 million so far?

In 2008 Ryan Grant provided consistent output on the ground whether the Packers played a playoff team or a non-playoff team. Against playoff teams Grant rushed for 480 yards in 6 games or an average of 80 yards a game (92 yards against MIN, 83 yards against ATL, 105 yards against INDY, 86 yards @ TENN, 75 yards @ MIN and 39 yards against CAR). Against non-playoff teams Grant rushed for 723 in 10 games for an average of 73 yards a game (20 yards @ DET, 54 yards against DAL, 20 yards @ TB, 90 yards @ SEA, 145 yards against CHI, 67 yards @ NO, 104 yards against HOU, 56 yards @ JAX, 61 yards @ CHI and 106 yards against DET). To view Grant's 2008 game log click here.

That trend of balanced output against playoff and non-playoff teams came to a screeching halt in 2009. Check out Grant's rushing splits between playoff teams and non-playoff teams. Against playoff teams Grant rushed for 298 yards in 6 games or an average of 50 yards a game (46 yards against CIN, 51 yards @ MIN, 30 yards against MIN, 79 yards against DAL, 41 yards against BAL and 51 yards against AZ). Against non-playoff teams Grant rushed for 955 yards in 10 games or an average of 95.5 yards a game (61 yards against CHI, 99 yards @ STL, 90 yards against DET, 148 yards @ CLE, 96 yards @ TB, 129 yards against SF, 61 yards @ DET, 137 yards @ CHI, 37 yards @ PIT and 97 yards against SEA). To view Grant's 2009 game log click here.

That means in 2009 Grant piled up a bunch of rushing yards (and money) against non-playoff teams and didn't produce against playoff teams. Furthermore, since Grant signed his extension, the only playoff team he ran for over 100 against in the regular season was the Indianapolis Colts in Week 7 of 2008. The Packers pummeled the Colts in that game 34-14. Grant's stats weren't even that spectacular: 31 attempts for 105 yards for 1 touchdown and a long run of 14 (box score).

Ryan Grant is a good "one-cut" rusher in the zone blocking scheme that doesn't fumble that often (6 over his career, only 1 in 2009). That said, Grant is very one-dimensional. Grant provides little in the receiving game: 73 receptions for 458 yards for 1 touchdown for his three year Packer career.

Grant has shown flashes of being able to break long runs (think of his first run from scrimmage @ Chicago in 2009) but does that make him worth upwards of $13.25 million in 2011...certainly not. It will be interesting to see how Ted Thompson addresses this bloated contract he gave Ryan Grant in the next year and a half...

Sunday, January 3, 2010

2009 Week #17 - Packers v. Cardinals Analyzed

Sorry for not posting a preview to this game. At kickoff the Arizona Cardinals and the Green Bay Packers were guaranteed to play each other next week in the first round of the playoffs (by virtue of the Minnesota Vikings thrashing the New York Giants) so I thought I would take input from this game to give a proper "Top 10" list of the Arizona Cardinals before the playoff game next week in Arizona.

In a mostly meaningless game, injuries played a big part in the game for both teams. For Arizona, they lost starting cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie to a knee injury in the 1st quarter. Arizona better hope Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie is healthy next week because Green Bay picked on his replacement (Michael Adams) for the rest of the game very similar to how teams have picked on Jarrett Bush in Al Harris's absence. Arizona's starting wide receiver Anquan Boldin also left the game with a left ankle/knee injury. For Green Bay, Charles Woodson landed awkwardly on his right shoulder towards the end of the 2nd quarter and did not return.

At the start of the 4th quarter Mike McCarthy finally sat some of his offensive starters (Aaron Rodgers, Chad Clifton, Scott Wells and Mark Tauscher) but that seemed way too late given the outcome of the game was decided by halftime (Green Bay lead 26-0).

Here is a quick look at the top 5 plays from the under card before the real bout between these same teams next week:

#5) Green Bay leads 14-0, Arizona ball on their own 3 yard line, 3rd and 9 with 12:40 left in the 2nd quarter:
Matt Leinart (Arizona) threw deep middle intended for Steve Breaston INTERCEPTED by Atari Bigby (Green Bay) at the Arizona 20 yard line. PENALTY on Reggie Wells (Arizona) for Offensive Holding, enforced in End Zone, SAFETY.

Analysis:
This was set-up by Steve Breaston's (Arizona) bone-head decision to field Jason Kapinos's (Green Bay) punt at his own 1 yard line. I wish Breaston would have saved that gaffe for next week when it matters. Back to the play at hand, the safety marked the Packers' first safety since 2001. Reggie Wells (Arizona) held Clay Maatthews (Green Bay) in the end zone to prevent Matthews from sacking Matt Lienart (Arizona). In a crowded rookie defensive player of the year race, Clay Matthews continues to play at a high level. What makes Matthews so impressive is his ability to rush the passer and still play stout against the run. Ted Thompson has to be smiling from ear to ear for trading back into the first round to get a potential franchise player at outside linebacker.


#4) Green Bay leads 33-0, Green Bay ball on the Arizona 18 yard line, 3rd and 8 with 3:18 remaining in the 4th quarter:
Matt Flynn (Green Bay) threw short right intended for James Jones (Green Bay) INTERCEPTED by Ralph Brown (Arizona) at the Arizona 13 yard line and returned 80 yards to the Green Bay 7 yard line. PENALTY on Matt Flynn (Green Bay), Low Block, 4 yards, enforced at the Green Bay 7 yard line.

Analysis:
After three interceptions by the Packers defense (Charles Woodson, Atari Bigby and Tramon Williams) they were on pace to set a franchise record for turnover margin with plus-25. That would have bested a trio of Packers teams from the 1960's (plus-24 in 1965, plus-22 in 1962 and plus-20 in 1960). Unfortunately Matt Flynn's interception knocked the 2009 Packers back down to plus-24 turnover margin. Despite Flynn's interception, the Packers finish the season with the best turnover ratio in the NFL. Flynn's interception also set-up an easy touchdown for the Cardinals which robbed the Packers defense of their second shutout of the season (they shutout Detroit 26-0 at home in Week #6).


#3) Green Bay leads 26-0, Green Bay ball on the Arizona 5 yard line, 1st and 5 with 4:21 left in the 3rd quarter:
Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay) threw short right to Jermichael Finley (Green Bay) for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Analysis:
It is a close race between Clay Matthews and Jermichael Finley for breakout performance of the year for the 2009 Green Bay Packers. Finley's touchdown catch shows why he is such a match-up problem for other teams. As long as Rodgers gets air under the ball, Finley's size allows him to out jump defenders.

Finley's touchdown catch also marked Aaron Rodgers' last throw of the 2009 regular season, which has been anything but regular for Rodgers. Rodgers ranks in the top 5 in almost every important passing statistic: 4th in Passer rating (1st Packer to finish with a quarterback rating over 100 since Bart Starr...yes, you read that correctly...Lynn Dickey, Don Majkowski and Brett Favre in his 3 MVP seasons never finished with a passer rating over 100), 3rd in Touchdown passes, 5th in Passing yards (Rodgers finished the season 24 yards shy of Lynn Dickey's team record of 4,458 passing yards in a season with 4,434 passing yards), Fewest Interceptions and 1st in Quarterback rush yards.


#2) Green Bay leads 19-0, Arizona ball on their own 32 yard line, 2nd and 11 with 4:44 left in the 2nd quarter:
Matt Leinart (Arizona) threw short right intended for Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona) INTERCEPTED by Charles Woodson (Green Bay) at the Arizona 45 yard line and returns it 45 yards for a TOUCHDOWN.

Analysis:
Woodson's interception gives him a career high 9 interceptions for the season and 45 for his career. Woodson returned 3 of those interceptions for a touchdown, the others came against Cincinnati in Week #2 and at Detroit on Thanksgiving in Week #12. Woodson's pick-six gave him a franchise record for most defensive touchdowns (7 interceptions and 1 fumble return) in Green Bay Packer history in merely 4 season. It took the former record holds much longer to amass 7 defensive touchdowns: Herb Adderly (8 seasons) and Darren Sharper (8 seasons). Although Aaron Rodgers would have a good argument, Woodson is the best player on the Packers right now. Even though Woodson's pick-six came against Arizona's backups, it should cement his place as the NFL Defensive MVP.


#1) Game tied 0-0, Green Bay ball on their own 31 yard line, 1st and 10 with 14:56 left in the 1st quarter:
Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay) threw short right to Donald Driver (Green Bay) to the Green Bay 45 yard line for 14 yards.

Analysis:
That catch gave Donald Driver more than 1,000 receiving yards for the season. More importantly, it means the Packers finished their second consecutive season with a 4,000 passer (Aaron Rodgers), a 1,200 rusher (Ryan Grant) and two 1,000 yard receivers (Greg Jennings and Donald Driver). The Packers are the first team in NFL history to accomplish that feat.

Sunday, December 27, 2009

2009 Packers v. Seahawks Analyzed

The Green Bay Packers accomplished three things on Sunday:
#1) trounced the Seattle Seahawks,
#2) didn't suffer any major injuries and
#3) punched their ticket to the playoffs.

In one of the more impressive regular season performances of the Ted Thompson/Mike McCarthy era, the Green Bay Packers demolished the Seattle Seahawks 48-10. The game was out of hand early in the 3rd quarter, which allowed Mike McCarthy to insert backup quarterback Matt Flynn (along with a number of back ups on both sides of the ball) at the end of the 3rd quarter.

Here were the top five plays from the game:

#5) Green Bay leads 7-0, Green Bay ball on their own 33 yard line, 3rd and 4 with 1:37 left in the 1st quarter:
Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay) threw deep left to Greg Jennings (Green Bay) for a 40 yard gain.

Analysis:
This play never happens last season, Mike McCarthy would not have called a play that gave Aaron Rodgers a chance to take a shot in that situation. With how well Rodgers is playing this season, McCarthy trusts Rodgers in almost any situation. McCarthy dialed up a play that got Jennings one-on-one with a cornerback. Rodgers saw the mismatch and threw a perfectly weighed ball to keep the drive alive. That completion helped propel Rodgers over 4,000 passing yards for the season. That gives Rodgers back to back 4,000 yard passing seasons to start his career, the first (yes you read that correctly) quarterback to do that in NFL history.


#4) Green Bay leads 14-0, Seattle ball on the Green Bay 8 yard line, 3rd and 6 with 12:10 left in the 2nd quarter:
Matt Hasselbeck (Seattle) threw short middle intended for T.J. Houshmandzadeh (Seattle), tipped by Johnny Jolly (Green Bay) and INTERCEPTED by Atari Bigby (Green Bay) for a touchback.

Analysis:
The game was not out of hand at this point. If Hasselbeck throws a touchdown, Seattle only trails by only 7 points. Instead, Hasselbeck threw an ill advised pass that was tipped at the line by Jolly (who set a Packer record for 11 tipped balls in a season) and intercepted easily by Bigby because the intended receiver (T.J. Houshmandzadeh) slipped on the play. After securing the interception, Bigby smartly went to the ground to force a touchback. Often times defenders want to make the big play and try to take interceptions out of the end zone instead of taking the ball at the 20 yard line. Very rarely is it a good decision to take it out of the end zone which actually puts their offense in worse field position.


#3) Green Bay leads 38-3, Green Bay ball on the Seattle 34 yard line, 4th and 1 with 10:52 left in the 4th quarter:
Mason Crosby's 52 yard field goal attempt is GOOD.

Analysis:
Mason Crosby's kicking woes have been well documented (missed field goals in 7 of the last 8 games he attempted a field goal going into the game against Seattle). This kick obviously was of little consequence for the game itself but might prove to be the confidence builder Crosby needed. Mike McCarthy and Ted Thompson have stood behind Crosby all season despite his kicking problems. Today Crosby rewarded McCarthy and Thompson by nailing the 52 yard field goal, which was the first field goal he made over 50 yards since connecting on a 52 yarder in Week #1. The reaction from the sideline said it all. Rodgers, Jennings and other 1st teams lined up to congratulate Crosby. Green Bay is hoping this is the boost Crosby needs for the playoffs.


#2) Game tied 0-0, Seattle ball on the Green Bay 36 yard line, 3rd and 1 with 9:02 left in the 1st quarter:
Matt Hasselbeck (Seattle) threw short right, INTERCEPTED by A.J. Hawk (Green Bay) at the Green Bay 36 yard line and returned 29 yards to the Seattle 35 yard line.

Analysis:
Green Bay won the toss and elected to receive. I am still not too sure why McCarthy elects to receive. With how well the defense is playing this season I would always defer to the second half. On their opening possession, Green Bay went three and out. After a below average punt from Kapinos, Seattle marched down the field running the ball on 7 of 8 plays on the drive. Facing a 3rd and 1 on their 9th play of the drive Seattle ran a play action boot leg play for Matt Hasselbeck. Great call by the way. Any time you can get a slow quarterback moving outside the pocket with very few receiving options on 3rd and 1 you have to take it. With no receiver within 10 yards Hasselbeck threw a perfect strike to A.J. Hawk. If Hawk had any speed it would have been returned for a touchdown. Instead Hawk was run down by every offensive lineman on Seattle.


#1) Green Bay leads 14-3, Green Bay ball on their own 44 yard line, 1st and 10 with 5:46 left in the 2nd quarter:
Ryan Grant (Green Bay) runs off left tackle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Analysis:
This was Grant's second big run in three weeks. Grant had a 62 yards TD run against the Chicago Bears in Week #14 (click here and scroll down to play #2). Grant is not an overpowering runner like Ahman Green in his prime (or Sunday when Green ran over the entire Seattle defense to pick up 16 yards on a 3rd and 1). Grant is at his best when he makes one cut and hits the hole. On the 56 yard touchdown run against Seattle Grant hit the hole, made a quick side step to evade the safety at the second level and was off to the races. The Green Bay running backs got into the end zone 6 times against Seattle (2 rushing by Grant, 2 rushing/1 receiving by Jackson and 1 rushing by Green) so there were a number of plays to choose from for the top spot but Grant's 56 yard touchdown run had to be #1 since it put the game out of reach before halftime.


Trojan Boner of the Week Award - Matt Hasselbeck
Just as a refresher, the award goes to a player/coach/referee that makes a stupid play(s)/decision(s)/call(s) during the game.

Analysis:
Hasselbeck's line for the day: 19 for 37, 198 yards, 1 touchdown (that came with only 4 minutes remaining to pull Seattle within 38 points) and 4 interceptions. This marks the second week in a row Hasselbeck threw 4 interceptions. Last week Hasselbeck did it at home against the now 3-12 Bucs after the Bucs knocked off the Saints in New Orleans. Hasselbeck now holds the distinction of being the only Seattle quarterback in team history to throw 4 interceptions in 2 games in a single season.

Hasselbeck threw two picks to Bigby, one to Hawk and one to Jarrett Bush. You read that correctly, Bush got a pick. I have to give Bush credit, it was actually a text book play by him but pretty sad for Hasselbeck considering Bush is the guy that evvery team has identified as the Packers' biggest weakness.

Green Bay has not been a kind place to the Seahawks, they have lost 5 straight in Green Bay (a few coming in the playoffs in recent years). Let's take a quick look back to see if Matt Hasselbeck deserves the "lifetime boner award" when he plays in Green bay as a member of the Seahwaks.

No one can forget the overtime playoff game when Seattle won the coin toss only to have Hasselbeck say "we'll take the ball we're gonna score." Hasselbeck threw a touchdown pass, unfortunately for him it came on an interception returned for a touchdown by Al Harris for Green Bay to end Seattle's season.

A few years later Seattle was also the only thing that separated Green Bay from the 2007 NFC Championship game. Seattle jumped out to a 14-0 lead set-up by two costly fumbles by Ryan Grant. Quick tangent, I missed the start of the game because I was attending a wedding. As I ran to the car I heard the second touchdown on the radio. I was going to drive my beautiful wife to be and friends to the hotel to catch the rest of the game bu once we heard the score I handed over the car keys and immediately started foaming at the mouth. Luckily the Packers got back on track and ended up routing Seattle 42-20.

The only reason I can think of for why Hasselbeck is so horrible in Green Bay is that he might just be a die hard Packer fan. Hasselbeck started his NFL career in Green Bay before being traded to Seattle. Based on how horribly he plays in Green Bay may be he is conflicted on who he really wants to win the games. I am going to make the leap and give Hasselbeck the modified "lifetime boner award". Whenever Hasselbeck plays in Green Bay, bet heavy on the Packers.