Showing posts with label Jarrett Bush. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jarrett Bush. Show all posts

Monday, December 9, 2013

The 53 - Packers beat the Falcons at home

The Green Bay Packers held a slight edge all-time against the Atlanta Falcons, 15-13 (including playoffs) coming into their Week 14 match-up.  Before the season it looked like this game could be an NFC Championship Game preview.  Instead heading into the game the Packers were 5-6-1 while the Falcons were 3-9.

The Packers were without the services of starting quarterback Aaron Rodgers due to a broken collarbone for essentially the sixth game in a row so the Packers started Matt Flynn ahead of Scott Tolzien in hopes of getting their first victory of 2013 sans Rodgers, so far they've gone 0-4-1.

A family friend Brother Patrick gave me four tickets to the Packers/Falcons game but I was unable to attend what would have been my fourth Packer game of this season so my cousin Jim and his family used the tickets.  I hope that my family got to enjoy some of this pregame fun.

At kickoff the weather reminded me of two previous Packers/Falcons games.  On the negative side of the coin I thought of when the Michael Vick lead Falcons dealt the Packers their first playoff loss in franchise history at Lambeau Field (previously 13-0) beating the Packers 27-7.  I watched that playoff loss at a bar in Florida with Fernando, Gaber, and Sug after we had just drove straight from Chicago to my parent's place in Punta Gorda, FL.  On the positive side of the coin I thought of the last NFL game ever played at County Stadium in Milwaukee on December 18, 1994 when Brett Favre rushed for a touchdown on the last play of the game to give the Packers a 21-17 victory over the Falcons.

The inactives for the Packers against the Falcons were: Kahlil Bell (RB, healthy scratch), Chris Harper (WR, healthy scratch), Marshall Newhouse (T, healthy scratch), Nate Palmer (LB, healthy scratch), Aaron Rodgers (QB, broken collarbone), C.J. Wilson (DL, ankle), and Jerel Worthy (DL, healthy scratch).

The Packers won the toss and elected to defer to the second half, which gave the Falcons the ball to start the game.  The Falcons put together a good drive setting up a 4th and 2 at the Green Bay 35 yard-line but for some reason Falcons head coach Mike Smith decided to punt. Given that the Falcons were 3-9, it seemed like a gutless call.  What do the Falcons have to loss in that situation?  The Packers capitalized on the following possession scoring a touchdown on an impressive 18 play, 86-yard drive that resulted in a one yard touchdown run by rookie running back Eddie Lacy.  One footnote to the opening touchdown drive for the Packers, it was kept alive by a defensive holding penalty by rookie linebackers Paul Worrilow.

The Falcons evened the score 7-7 in the second quarter on a 36-yard catch and run by wide receiver Drew Davis for a touchdown.  Packers middle linebacker Brad Jones failed to get home on a blitz on that play so Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan was able to hang in the pocket and connect with Davis right in the spot where Jones would have been if he was not blitzing.  I feel like a broken record but it seems like every time the Packers blitz a middle linebacker, whether its Jones or A.J. Hawk, neither seem to get home.  Oddly both of those players struggle to cover tight ends and running backs as well.  I guess damned if you do, damned if you don't with Hawk and Jones.

Following the touchdown the Packers took over at their own 23 yard-line.  Lacy did not pick up the blitz on the first play from scrimmage and Flynn was sacked by Falcons safety William Moore.  Flynn fumbled the ball and Falcons recovered at the Green Bay 13 yard-line.  The Falcons turned that great field position into a touchdown to go up 14-7 thanks to a short touchdown catch by Falcons tight end Tony Gonzalez with safety Morgan Burnett totally burned by the play fake on that play.

On the following drive the Packers put together a nice drive that resulted in field goal to make the score 14-10.  Based on a few throws on that drive Flynn still looks shaky throwing deep.  On the following series the Packers defense finally got a stop to give the Packers the ball with 2:20 left in the half.  After the Packers moved the ball fairly well on offense, it looked like their playoff hopes were flushed down the toilet when on a pick-six gave the Falcons a 21-10 lead.  The pick-six was set-up by an errant throw by Flynn looking to hit fullback John Kuhn that was kicked into the air by Worrilow.  Falcons linebacker Sean Witherspoon caught the kicked ball and returned it 71-yards for a touchdown.

The Packers got the ball back down 21-10 on their own 32-yard line with 23 seconds left in the first half.  Packers head coach Mike McCarthy actually had the offense run plays instead of kneeling.  Lacy got hurt on the third and final play called by McCarthy.  I know Lacy can get hurt on any play but I would rather see the Packers only expose Lacy when there is a remote chance that they can score, which is not an inside hand-off on 3rd and 10 from their own 32-yard line with a few seconds in the half.  Thus the Packers went into halftime on quite a sour note with the fans actually booing and me speculating that McCarthy should replace Flynn with Tolzien.

Leaving the playoff implications aside, it is too bad that the game was going so bad at halftime because the Packers honored recent NFL Hall of Fame inductee linebacker Dave Robinson.  Robinson teared up a couple times during the classy ceremony lead by former Packer center and Packer radio commentator Larry McCarren.  Robinson seemed really touched by the whole event based on his post-game interview.

Following Robinson's ceremony, the second half started with a whimper for both teams as the Packers and Falcons traded three-and-outs.  On the next drive, the Packers got into field goal range thanks to an impressive 46-yard pitch and catch between Flynn and wide receiver Jordy Nelson.  If Flynn would have hit Nelson in stride that probably would have been a touchdown. You know any time that I can get in a criticism of McCarthy, I seize the opportunity.  I would have gone for it when McCarthy decided to attempt a field goal on 4th and 3 at the Atlanta 15.  Place kicker Mason Crosby converted the 33-yard field goal to pull the Packers within eight points at 21-13 but my thinking was that the Packers would only get into the red zone a few more times given Flynn's inability to drive the ball down the field.

The Packers defense had another nice stop on the next drive but the offense was only able to muster another field goal on the next drive to cut the score to 21-16.   The Packers have struggled to convert red zone opportunities into touchdowns all season but I would bet that Rodgers converts at least one of the two field goal drives just discussed into touchdowns.

As the 4th quarter started, Fox flashed a stat that the Packers defense has given up 107 points in 4th quarter this season, which is the most in the NFL...yikes.  Luckily the Packers clamped down when outside linebacker Mike Neal stripped Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan and Packers defensive lineman Johnny Jolly recovered the fumble.

The Packers took over at the Atlanta 21 yard-line with 13:50 remaining in the game and the Packers trailed the Falcons by five points.  That drive resulted in a nice touchdown catch by tight end Andrew Quarless to make the score 22-21.  McCarthy made the right decision going for two but made the wrong play call trying to run a fade route to wide receiver James Jones that fell incomplete.  I would have liked to see a run in that situation given the fact that the Packers have a wrecking ball in the backfield in Lacy.  The touchdown and missed two-point conversion put the Packers up 22-21 with 12 minutes to play.

On the next drive the Falcons missed a 52-yard field goal by two yards.  On the play before the kick Jolly tackled running back Jason Snelling for two yard loss, which you could argue was the difference between the Packers leading 22-21 and going down 24-22 given how close the Falcons were on their field goal attempt.

On the next drive the Packers couldn't get anything going so they went three-and-out.  Following a punt by the Packers, the Falcons got the ball back at their own 17 yard-line with 4:38 left in the game.  On that drive the Packers lost Brad Jones to an injury.  On the following play the Packers lost Jolly and Jones's replacement middle linebacker Jamari Lattimore, which forced the Packers to play cornerback/safety Jarrett Bush in the dime for the rest of the game.

The Falcons moved the ball a little but coming out of the two minute warning the Falcons faced a 4th and 5 from the Green Bay 33 yard-line.  Instead of attempting a 50-yard field goal, the Falcons went for it.  Ryan found Gonzalez for a first down but Gonzalez dropped the ball with Bush covering him.  It looked like Gonzalez should have caught Ryan's pass despite Bush's blanket coverage.

That meant the Packers got the ball back with 1:55 remaining in the game up 22-21.  Following three runs by Lacy, the Packers were forced to punt with a little less than a minute remaining in the game.  After a perfect punt by Tim Mastay, the gunners for the Packers Bush and cornerback Davon House tried to get out of the way instead of attempting to down the ball on the one yard-line because their momentum most likely would pushed the ball into the end zone for a touchback.  Falcons punt returner Robert McClain picked up the ball and returned it eight yards to give the Falcons the ball with no timeouts and 46 seconds on the clock at their own 9 yard-line.

After picking up 48 yards through the air on a couple plays that could have been more if Falcons wide receiver Harry Douglas did not drop a simple catch to get the Falcons in field goal range, the Falcons faced a 3rd and 10 from their own 40 yard-line.  Ryan went to Douglas again but he was triple covered. Bush intercepted Ryan's pass to give the Packers their first win in six games, which means that the Packers have gone 363 games since their last six-game winless streak, the 4th longest in NFL history.

I've linked to as many plays above as I could from Packers.com, click here for the full highlights of the Packers/Falcons game.  Thanks to their win over the Falcons, the Packers won their 14th consecutive regular season game at Lambeau Field in December/January.  That streak started on Sunday, December 28, 2008 with a 31-21 win over the Detroit Lions to finish the 2008 regular season 6-10 in Rodgers's first season as the starter for the Packers.  That is sort of a hallow streak though because the Packers lost to the New York Giants two seasons ago at home in the playoffs.  Papa Cheese and I attended that game in-person so that sad 37-20 loss on Sunday, January 15, 2012 is seared in my memory.  I actually got to talk with McCarren for a few minutes following the Packers/Giants game and he seemed just as bummed as me, which made the loss a little more palatable for me.

The win for the Packers means they improved to 6-6-1.  The Lions lost on the road in a snow globe to the Philadelphia Eagles to drop to 7-6.  The 6-6 Chicago Bears host the 7-5 Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football.  Even if the Bears beat the Cowboys, the Packers will only trail the Bears and Lions by 1/2 game with three games to play.  Here are my updated rankings for The 53 following the Packers/Falcons game:

The 53
1. Aaron Rodgers (QB, LR 1)
2. Clay Matthews (OLB, LR 2) 
3. Jordy Nelson (WR, LR 3)
4. Eddie Lacy (RB, LR 7)
5. B.J. Raji (DL, LR 8)
6. T.J. Lang (G, LR 4)
7. Morgan Burnett (S, LR 5)
8. Josh Sitton (G, LR 6)
9. Evan Dietrich-Smith (C, LR 11)
10. James Jones (WR, LR 9)
11. David Bakhtiari (T, LR 10)
12. Sam Shields (CB, LR 13)
13. Mike Daniels (DL, LR 12)
14. Tramon Williams (CB, LR 14)
15. Don Barclay (T, LR 16)
16. Nick Perry (OLB, LR 17)
17. Brad Jones (MLB, LR 15)
18. A.J. Hawk (MLB, LR 18)
19. Davon House (CB, LR 19)
20. Micah Hyde (CB, LR 21)
21. Datone Jones (DL, LR 20)
22. Jarrett Boykin (WR, LR 22)
23. Tim Masthay (P, LR 23)
24. Mike Neal (DL/OLB, LR 24)
25. Johnny Jolly (DL, LR 25)
26. Jerel Worthy (DE, LR 28)
27. Ryan Pickett (DL, LR 26)
28. Mason Crosby (K, LR 27)
29. Matt Flynn (QB, LR 30)
30. Jamari Lattimore (LB, LR 29)
31. Derek Sherrod (T, LR 37)
32. Jarrett Bush (CB, LR 31)
33. Brett Goode (LS, LR 35)
34. Andrew Quarless (TE, LR 38)
35. James Starks (RB, LR 34)
36. Sean Richardson (S, LR 43)
37. Scott Tolzien (QB, LR 32)
38. M.D. Jennings (S, LR 33)
39. Brandon Bostick (TE, LR 40)
40. John Kuhn (FB, LR 36)
41. Ryan Taylor (TE, LR 42)
42. Josh Boyd (DL, LR 49)
43. C.J. Wilson (DL, LR 41)
44. Chris Banjo (S, LR 39)
45. Andy Mulamba (LB, LR 44)
46. Myles White (WR, LR 46)
47. Lane Taylor (G, LR 47)
48. Jake Stoneburner (TE, LR 48)
49. Victor Aiyewa (LB, LR 51)
50. Marshall Newhouse (T, LR 50)
51. Nate Palmer (LB, LR 52) 
52. Chris Harper (WR, LR 53)
53. Kahlil Bell (RB, LR N/A)
Physically Unable to Perform
1. JC Tretter (T)
IR, Designated for Return
1. Randall Cobb (WR)
Injured Reserve
1. Jermichael Finley (TE)
2. Bryan Bulaga (T)
3. Casey Hayward (CB, LR 16)
4. DuJuan Harris (RB)
5. Jonathan Franklin (RB)
6. Robert Francois (MLB)
7. Greg Van Roten (C/G)
8. Sam Barrington (LB)
9. Seneca Wallace (QB)
10. James Nixon (CB, LR 53)
11. Kevin Dorsey (WR)
12. Sederrik Cunningham (WR)
Cut
1. Jeremy Ross (WR, Lions)
2. Jerron McMillian (S, free agent)
3. Michael Hill (RB, Buccaneers)
3) Jordy Nelson (WR, LR 3): After wearing a green Donald Driver #80 jersey since 2010, Cheesehead Chick broke in her new jersey for the Packers/Falcons game...a green Jordy Nelson #87 jersey.  Nelson caught four passes for 85 yards, which is much better than last time Cheesehead Chick broke-in a new jersey.  I was excited for Cheesehead Chick to get a jersey so we snagged her the aforementioned Driver jersey from the Packers Pro Shop.  That game, Week 7 of the 2010 season at home against the Vikings, Driver broke his 133 game streak with at least one reception.  Luckily Cheesehead Chick was a not a cooler for Nelson like she was for Driver.

4) Eddie Lacy (RB, LR 7): Going into the game the the Falcons allowed a 100-yard rusher in nine consecutive games.  Although the Packers broke that streak, Lacy still had 20 carries for 65 yards and a touchdown.  Lacy also had three receptions for 25 yards.  Lacy has a great combination of patience and violent running style, which makes him a handful for defenses.  I wanted to get a Lacy jersey much earlier this season when I attended the Packers/Browns game but was unable to procure the jersey back in October.  I am very superstitious about what I wear for Packer games so I am happy to be 1-0 wearing the Lacy jersey.

9) Evan Dietrich-Smith (C, LR 11): A knee injury knocked EDS out of the Packers' Thanksgiving loss to the Lions, which was complicated by the fact that he sprained his ankle in practice earlier this week.  Luckily EDS was healthy enough to play against the Falcons because the Packers do not have another true center on The 53 given that right guard T.J. Lang filled in at center against the Philadelphia Eagles for the first time in his career.  The Falcons registered five sacks against the Packers but at least a few of those sacks are on Flynn's inability to get the ball out.  Given the offensive line struggles the last few weeks, can you imagine how things would have been sans EDS?

25) Johnny Jolly (DL, LR 25): Following Jolly's fumble recovery, Cheesehead Chick actually asked if Jolly lost weight.  I honestly think that is the first time in my entire life I've ever heard someone ask whether Jolly lost weight.  Leaving the weight discussion aside, it looks like Jolly is finally healthy again so he is starting to wreak havoc in the backfield again.  As I discussed a few weeks back, the Packers have four defensive lineman including Jolly that are set to be free agents this off-season.  Given Jolly's off-the-field issues, I think that makes him the most cost-effective option but I actually see Jolly getting more than the three-year, $7.5 million with $2 million guaranteed than I projected just a few weeks back.  If Jolly continues to play like he did against the Falcons.

29) Matt Flynn (QB, LR 30): The Packers ran a fair amount of no-huddle on offense against the Falcons.  As I discussed the way the Packers handled the last few minutes of the first half above, it seems like Flynn is not able to execute the no-huddle when it matters though.  Leaving aside the 46-yard hook-up between Flynn and Nelson, I still question whether Flynn can consistently drive the ball down field.  Flynn finished 24 for 32 throwing for 258 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception for a 95.6 passer rating in what I hope is Flynn's last snap for the Packers.

32) Jarrett Bush (CB, LR 31): The Falcons receivers did Ryan no favors with 5 drops but even factoring in the drops, I was nervous to see Bush playing in crunch time due to injuries to Jones and Lattimore. Bush had his best coverage of the day on the interception that sealed the victory for the Packers.  As I've said many times, it is never good to see Bush on the field on defense but he actually played fairly well when thrust into duty following all the injuries the Packers suffered on defense.

34) Andrew Quarless (TE, LR 38): Six catches for 66 yards and a touchdown is clearly Quarless's best game as a Packer but those performances have been the exception to the rule as opposed to the norm throughout his career in Green Bay.  Two other tight ends on The 53 added two catches a piece against the Falcons: Bostick for 28 yards and Taylor for seven yards.  Collectively that gave the Packers 10 catches for 101 yards and a touchdown, which is the type of production the Packers need to get out of the tight end position from one guy not three guys combined. Taylor is a core special teams player so his position is safe.  The big question is whether Bostick can become the athletic hybrid tight end/wide receiver the Packers think they have in Bostick.  If Bostick can become that guy, the Packers might low-ball Quarless this off-season or even let him walk.

36) Sean Richardson (S, LR 43): I've discussed a number of times in this space how I see Richardson's physical abilities making him a difference maker at safety.  After M.D. Jennings struggled in the first half against the Falcons, it looked like Richardson got an extended look in the second half when the defense as a whole looked much better.  My guess is that Richardson is the starter opposite Morgan Burnett at safety for the foreseeable future with Jennings and Chris Banjo serving as backups.

The Packers are 1-4-1 since Rodgers broke his collarbone on the first offensive series against the Bears on Monday Night Football on November 4, 2013.  The Packers go on the road next week to face the Dallas Cowboys on December 15, 2013 in the same stadium that Rodgers and Company won Super Bowl XLV over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The original prognosis was that Rodgers would be out four to six weeks.  The Packers/Cowboys game would be the outer edge of six weeks.  Based on Rodgers waiting till Friday to be declared out against the Falcons this week, the hope is that another week will allow his collarbone to fully heal. Given that the Packers are right in the middle of the face to win the NFC North, the speculation all week will be whether Rodgers is healthy enough to help the Packers on their stretch run to the playoffs.

Check back if there are any changes to The 53, otherwise make sure to catch Monday Night Football tonight when the Cowboys visit the Bears because those are two of the final three opponents the Packers face to close the 2013 regular season.

Wednesday, September 4, 2013

The 53 - Five Worst Contracts for 2013 GBP

Green Bay Packers general manager Ted Thompson finalized the first incarnation of The 53 on Saturday.  I say first incarnation because just two days later Thompson shook up The 53 when he cut backup quarterback B.J. Coleman and signed quarterback Seneca Wallace.

All NFL teams need to be under the $123 million salary cap, up from $120.6 million in 2012, by 3 pm today.  Despite giving out two of the largest contracts in NFL history during the off-season to quarterback Aaron Rodgers and outside linebacker Clay Matthews, the Packers were still more than $9 million below the salary cap when you factor in the $900,000 minimum salary benefit so complying with the salary cap was never going to be a problem for the Packers.  Keep in mind that number only accounts for the 51 most expensive players on the current roster.  That cap number will go up a fair amount when you add in everyone on the 53-man roster, PUP list, injured reserve, the practice squad, injury settlements, and other dead cap charges.

Although it looks like the Packers have a fair amount of salary cap room, they will need to use it wisely because they have a number of quality starters (Evan Dietrich-Smith (C), Jermichael Finley (TE), James Jones (WR), Ryan Pickett (DL), B.J. Raji (DL), Sam Shields (CB), and C.J. Wilson (DL)) that are set to become free agents this off-season.

Last year I dealt with the five worst and five best contract together.  Since these posts get long, I decided to split them up this year.  I will look at the five best contracts tomorrow but first let's look at the five worst contracts on The 53:

5. Jarrett Bush (CB, $1.8 million, 19th highest cap charge on The 53): The Packers tried Bush at cornerback and safety a number of times over the past few seasons.  Sure Bush had a crucial interception in Super Bowl XLV but otherwise he has struggled playing in the base defense.  The same cannot be said for special teams because Bush excels on special teams.  There is no doubt that Bush is one of the hardest workers on the team, unfortunately that hard work has only payed dividends on special teams as opposed to defense, which makes his salary a tad expensive for my taste.  Often times teams say you can't put a price on certain things like special teams play but apparently three-year, $5.25 million is that price, which means Bush carries the 53rd highest salary cap number for cornerbacks in 2013.  Bush has two years left on that deal.  If the younger cornerbacks (Casey Hayward, Davon House, and Micah Hyde) can get close to Bush's level on special teams, he might be playing elsewhere in 2014.

4. Brad Jones (MLB, $2.5 million, 14th highest cap charge on The 53): The Packers handed out a bunch of smart extensions this off-season to Morgan Burnett (S), Matthews, and Rodgers.  Unfortunately the three-year, $11.75 million contract they gave Jones was not a smart extension.  The Packers had so many talented linebackers on the roster that they had to cut linebackers with tons of potential like Terrell Manning so the cupboard is far from bare at linebacker.  Traditionally the Packers let other teams overpay players after their rookie contract unless they are potential franchise cornerstones.  Sure Jones only has the 46th highest salary cap number for middle linebackers in 2013 but his cap number jumps to $4 million in 2014 and a ridiculous $4.75 million in 2015.  Jones struggled in pass coverage last season, he as to improve in that phase of the game this season otherwise he might be in danger of getting cut this off-season if any of the younger linebackers (Jamari Lattimore and Sam Barrington) show they can be an every down middle linebacker.

3. Jermichael Finley (TE, $8.75 million, 2nd highest cap charge on The 53): Following the 2011 season the Packers and Finley agreed to a two-year, $14 million "prove it" contract.  After paying Finley $5.25 million last season, his salary cap number jumped $3.5 million to $8.75 for this season, which means Finley carries the second highest salary cap number for tight ends in the NFL behind Zach Miller.  Sure Finley is a physical freak, which makes him a match-up nightmare, but his inability to block and catch passes consistently have been his achilles heels.  Look for Finley to concentrate on blocking and catching since he is a contract year because if he adds those two elements to his game, I could actually see the Packers paying top dollar to retain Finley.

2. A.J. Hawk (MLB, $5.2 million, 8th highest cap charge on The 53): Even after agreeing to cut $7.25 million off the last three years of the five-year, $33.75 million contract that Hawk signed after the 2010 season, he still has the 22nd highest salary cap number for middle linebackers in 2013.  I've often referred to Hawk as the Business HJ because he gets the job done but there is nothing special about it, which is why a salary cap number of over $5 million a year through 2015 is too much for a pedestrian middle linebacker like Hawk.

1. Tramon Williams (CB, $8.5 million, 3rd highest cap charge on The 53): When the Packers signed Williams to a five-year, $38 million extension it looked like they got a steal but Williams suffered shoulder injury that limited his ability to play physical at the line of scrimmage the last two seasons, which makes him overpaid since he carries the 8th highest salary cap number of all cornerbacks in the NFL.  Trust me, Williams is a much better player than Hawk but I am not sure Williams is worth $3.2 million more even thought he plays a premium position like coernerback.  The Packers are going to have an interesting decision to make on Williams this off-season because Williams will is due $9.5 million in 2014 in the last year of his contract and the Packers have a ton of young talent at cornerback on the roster.

A special thanks to sportrac for their detailed NFL salary numbers, which made this post possible.

Check back tomorrow when I look at the five best contracts on The 53.

Thursday, August 23, 2012

2012 Preseason Week 3 - Packers/Bengals Review

After struggling two weeks ago against the Chargers on the road and last week at home against the Browns, the Packers finally put together a positive performance on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals. Here are a few of my quick thoughts on the Week 3 Packers/Bengals preseason game:

#1) Player that hurt his stock most
: Marshall Newhouse is the starter at left tackle unless the Packers move Bryan Bulaga from right tackle to left tackle since Derek Sherrod is still recovering from a broken leg at the end of last season.  In 2011 Newhouse played decent against inferior competition but struggled mightily against good competition.  In Newhouse's first action of the preseason he struggled, which is shaping up to be a big problem since the Packers expect to transition seamlessly from Chad Clifton (former starting left tackle for the last decade) to Newhouse.  I hope the Packers give Newhouse more reps next week to get him as much live action as possible even though the starters play only a few snaps in the preseason finale because Newhouse does not look ready to protect A-Rodg's blindside.

#2) Player that helped his stock most
: Last week I highlighted running back as the position to watch thanks to signing Cedric Benson.  In Benson's first appearance for the Packers, he ran very well against his former employer.  There is no question the Packers lacked a powerful running back like Benson since Ahman Green's first stint with the Packers.  Green's second stint with the Packers was forgettable because physically he was a shell of his former self.  Ball security and blocking are the only things that worry me about Benson because as long as Rodgers is healthy the Packers are going to be a pass first team so Benson will see more of his carries when the Packers have a lead that they are looking to protect.

#3) Position to watch
: So far I've talked about linebackers and running backs. This week I want to focus on the secondary.  Assuming that Charles Woodson and Morgan Burnett start at safety while Tramon Williams starts at one of the two cornerback positions in the base 3-4 defense, that leaves one starting cornerback position to fill.  Davon House looked like he was going to be the other starter until he predictably got hurt earlier this preseason.  House suffered a shoulder injury and I fear that will limit his effectiveness in bump-and-run coverage in 2012 much like it did for Williams in 2011.  That leaves Sam Shields, Jarrett Bush, and Casey Hayward as the other options at cornerback.  None of the three separated themselves so far, which means the Packers might as well start the rookie Hayward since Shields regressed in 2011 and Bush is a liability in coverage.

Final Note
: My father-in-law has been a lifetime Bengals fan since he grew up in Dayton, OH but lately he's become a Packer fan and is even a co-owner like Papa Cheese, me, and what feels like a million other people.  This week we emailed about which team my father-in-law should root for.  I settled on rooting for both teams being healthy since they've both suffered some fairly serious injuries to starters already.  Besides Ryan Pickett and Tom Crabtree, it looks like our wishes were answered on the Cheesehead side of the ball.

Sunday, December 20, 2009

2009 - Packers v. Steelers Analyzed

The Packers continued their losing ways in Pittsburgh. They are 0-4 in Pittsburgh since 1970. By beating the Packers, the Steelers avoided becoming the first Super Bowl champion to lose 6 games the season after hoisting the Lombardi trophy.

The Packers trailed at a number of points throughout the entire game: 7-0, 14-7, 21-14, 27-21, 30-28 and most importantly 37-36. The Steelers out gained the Packers 537 yards to 436 yards and outclassed the Packers on the final drive of the game.

The Steelers made more plays in the clutch which helped them beat the Packers. It was hard to narrow the list down to five plays because of how many explosive plays occurred in this game. After much deliberation, here are the top five plays and analysis from the game (along with the "Trojan Play of the Game"):

#5) Pittsburgh leads 14-7, Pittsburgh ball on their own 34 yard line, 3rd and 5 with 1:17 left in the 1st quarter:
Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh) SACKED and FUMBLED, Clay Matthews (Green Bay) RECOVERED at the Pittsburgh 27 yard line. Pittsburgh challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh) threw incomplete short right to Heath Miller (Pittsburgh).

Analysis:
Instead of Green Bay getting the ball at the Pittsburgh 27 yard line, Green Bay got the ball at their own 27 yard line following a Pittsburgh punt. The Packers drove the ball down the field and Mason Crosby missed an easy field goal (see play #2 below).

I included this play for two reasons:
#1) Was that enough evidence to overturn the call? After being called a fumble on the field there has to be irrefutable video evidence to over turn the call. After watching the play from every angle it seems close whether his arm was moving forward before the ball was coming out. As a result, it amazes me that they overturned the call instead deferring to the original call on the field.
#2) How great of a rookie season in Matthews having? For the first time in Ted Thompson's tenure as the General Manager of the Green Bay Packers he traded back into the first round to get Clay Matthews. With Green Bay moving from the 4-3 to the 3-4 they needed a quality rush end/outside linebacker to help with the transition. Matthews has been just that type of player and exceed all expectations thus far. Matthews's stats for the season through 14 games are: 47 tackles, 10 sacks, 8 tackles for a loss and 1 forced fumble. Pretty good start to what looks to be a VERY promising professional football career.


#4) Game tied 0-0, Pittsburgh ball on their own 40 yard line, 1st and 10 with 14:28 left in the 1st quarter:
Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh) threw deep right to Mike Wallace (Pittsburgh) for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Analysis:
Losing Al Harris for the seasons meant shuffling the corner back chairs. As a result, Jarrett Bush has been thrust into the lineup more then coaches/fans wanted and has been burned a number of times.

On this play Bush inexplicably slowed down as Wallace raced down field. Without any safety help over the top, Bush allowed Wallace to get behind the entire Green Bay defense. Big Ben bought some extra time by scrambling around and even though he under threw Wallace, it still went for a long touchdown because of how far out of position Bush was on the play.


#3) Green Bay leads 36-30, Pittsburgh ball on their own 44 yard line, 1st and 20 with 59 seconds left in the 4th quarter:
Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh) threw short right intended for Mike Wallace (Pittsburgh) tipped by Brandon Chillar (Green Bay) and INTERCEPTED by Jarrett Bush (Green Bay) at the Green Bay 42 yard line and returned 7 yards to the to Green Bay 49 yard line. PENALTY on Brandon Chillar (Green Bay), Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at the Pittsburgh 44 yard line.

Analysis:
Bush tried to atone for early sins on this play but his interception was nullified by Chillar's defensive hold. It was a clear penalty by Chillar which allowed the Pittsburgh drive to continue.

There were a number of plays on the final drive that could have flipped the game. The Packers committed 3 penalties (defensive holding on Woodson, Chillar and Bell) while the Steelers committed 2 penalties (offensive holding and false start by Starks).

At certain points it looked like both teams were willing the other team on to win. Unfortunately the Steelers had the last laugh.


#2) Pittsburgh leads 14-7, Green Bay ball on the Pittsburgh 16 yard line, 4th and 2 with 13:25 left in the 2nd quarter:
Mason Crosby (Green Bay) 34 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right (Holder Jeremy Kapinos).

Analysis:
The right hash mark and Mason Crosby are not friends. If this continues any longer Mason Crosby might be looking for a new employer before the New Year. Crosby's kicking troubles have been well documented, if I don't move on I might break my keyboard...


#1) Green Bay leads 36-30, Pittsburgh ball on the Green Bay 19 yard line, 3rd and 10 with 3 seconds left in the 4th quarter:
Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh) threw deep left to Mike Wallace (Pittsburgh) for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld.

Analysis:
After starting slow, the Packers offense gave the team a chance to win. The defense took that chance and flushed it down the toilet. It is inexcusable that the highly rated Green Bay defense allowed Pittsburgh to drive 86 yards in two minutes with only 1 timeout remaining to win the game. The entire drive was a slow burn that resulted in a Steelers win.

Trojan Bonner of the Week Award - Mike Tomlin
Just as a refresher, the award goes to a player/coach/referee that makes a stupid play/decision/call during the game.

Pittsburgh leads 30-28, Pittsburgh ball on their own 30 yard line, kicking off with 3:58 left in the 4th quarter:
Jeff Reed (Pittsburgh) kicks onside 9 yards from, downed by Ike Taylor (Pittsburgh). PENALTY on Ike Taylor (Pittsburgh), Illegal Touch Kick, enforced at Pittsburgh 39 yard line.

Analysis:
Big Ben bailed out Tomlin and almost made me give the award to someone else (Mason Crosby, Jarrett Bush and Donald Lee dodged a bullet). Tomlin inexplicably tried an onside kick with the lead and 4 minutes remaining in the game.

Some might argue that Tomlin is an evil genius for giving the Packers a short field which allowed the Steelers to get the ball back with 2 minutes left in the game. The onside kick seemed like a slap in the face to his defense (similar to the infamous 4 and 2 decision by Belichick earlier this season).

Tomlin lucked out that the Steelers pulled out the victory but the win does not diminish how stupid of a decision it was for Tomlin to attempt the onside kick in that situation.

Congrats Tomlin, you are the second recipient of the "Trojan Bonner of the Week Award"!

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Packers cut Rouse and sign Giordano

As expected the Green Bay Packers signed free agent safety Matt Giordano, a 4th round pick by the Indianapolis Colts in the 2005 NFL Draft. Giordano appeared in 55 games for the Colts over the last four season, starting six contests. The Colts cut Giordano at the end of the preseason. The signing of Giordano reunites him with former California teammate Aaron Rodgers.

To make room for Giordano the Packers cut often maligned safety Aaron Rouse; a 3rd round pick by the Packers in the 2007 NFL Draft. Coming out of Virgina Tech Rouse was a physical specimen at 6'4" and 223 pounds. Rouse ran the 40-yard dash in 4.59 at the NFL Combine. Rouse was projected as a late first round pick but his lack luster senior season saw him fall to the 3rd round. Throughout his Packer career everyone talked about his "potential" but Rouse never produced on the field, which lead to the Packers parting ways with Rouse.

Both of the Packers starting safeties (Nick Collins and Atari Bigby) are sidelined with injuries. That leaves recently acquired Derrick Martin, converted corner back Jarrett Bush and Matt Giordano as their only healthy options at safety. The Packers lack of depth at safety calls into question Packers General Manager Ted Thompson's decision to cut Anthony Smith before the start of the season. Smith was signed because of his understanding of the new 3-4 defense because he played for the Pittsburgh Steelers from 2006 to 2008. Ironically Smith now plays for the St. Louis Rams, the Packers next opponent.

Injuries happen in the NFL, which makes the Packers complete lack of depth at safety very alarming. Matt Giordano better pick-up the 3-4 defense fast because he will most likely be active this weekend against the Rams.