Wisconsin loses to Stanford in the 2013 Rose Bowl

The 99th installment of the "Granddaddy of Them All" was one of the more unlikely match-ups in Rose Bowl history when the 8th ranked Stanford Cardinal (11-2) faced the unranked Wisconsin Badgers (8-5).  I say unlikely because although it involved a Big Ten program playing a Pac 12 (artist formerly known as the Pac 10) program, the Badgers became the first team to participate in the Rose Bowl with five loses.

Take those five loses with a grain of salt though.  The Badgers lost three games in overtime to Michigan State, Ohio State, and Penn State.  Their two non-overtime loses came on the road to Oregon State and Nebraska, which are both currently ranked in the Top 25.  All five of those loses heading into the Rose Bowl were by merely 19 points so the Badgers haven't been blown out this year.

Finishing the Big Ten regular season 7-5 (4-4 in the Big Ten) meant the Badgers were the 3rd best team in the Leaders Division and nominally only the 5th or 6th best team in the Big Ten based on their record.  The top two teams in the Leaders Division (Ohio State and Penn State) were ineligible to play in the Big Ten Championship Game so the Badgers represented the Leaders Division.  Wisconsin walloped the Legends Division representative Nebraska 70-31 to avenge a loss to them earlier in the season and more importantly earn the right to play in the 2013 Rose Bowl.

Stanford is made their first Rose Bowl appearance since 1999 while the Badgers made their third consecutive Rose Bowl appearance.  Wisconsin is the first Big Ten to make three consecutive Rose Bowl appearances since Michigan did the same thing from 1977 to 1979. Chalk it up to geography or too many consecutive Rose Bowl appearances but according to various reports Stanford sold roughly 40,000 tickets while Wisconsin only sold roughly 16,500 tickets.

In games decided by seven points or less heading into the 2013 Rose Bowl, Stanford was 7-2 including 2-1 in overtime (lost 17-13 at Washington and lost 20-13 in overtime at Notre Dame) while Wisconsin is 2-5 including 0-3 in overtime.  Part of Stanford's success in close games came thanks to head coach David Shaw benching junior quarterback Josh Nunes for dual-threat redshirt freshman quarterback Kevin Hogan much like previous Standford head coach Jim Harbaugh did recently as head coach for the San Francisco 49ers benching veteran quarterback Alex Smith in favor of second year dual-threat quarterback Colin Kaepernick.

Speaking of head coaches, Barry Alvarez decided to coach the Badgers in the 2013 Rose Bowl after Bret Bielema left Wisconsin for Arkansas.  Early returns on Alvarez's performance were not positive thanks to a pair of early first quarter rushing touchdowns for Stanford. Towards the end of the first quarter it looked like the 2013 Rose Bowl was going to be a blow out like many national pundits thought.  That was exacerbated early in the second quarter when Wisconsin running back Montee Ball scored a rushing touchdown that was nullified by a senseless holding penalty by left tackle Rick Wagner.  At the end of that same drive Wisconsin faced a 4th and goal with less than a yard to go.  Stanford stonewalled running back James White so Wisconsin turned the ball over on downs.  I know it seems easy to say now but I would have kicked the field goal, especially since Stanford has one of the best rush defenses in the country.

Instead of going into a shell, Wisconsin forced Stanford to punt after turning the ball over on downs and responded with a second quarter touchdown run by Ball for his FBS record 83rd career touchdown to cut the deficit to 14-7.  That touchdown also made Ball the only player to score a touchdown in three different Rose Bowls.

Stanford quickly countered with a 47-yard field by Jordan Williamson, a kick way out of the range of any Wisconsin kicker.  That is more of a shot at struggling Green Bay Packers kicker Mason Crosby than either Wisconsin Badgers kicker because a 47-yard field goal is a lot to ask of any collegiate kicker, especially in a pressure packed game like the Rose Bowl.  Unfortunately that is also too much to ask of Crosby despite the fact that he earns $3 million (signed a five-year, $15 million contract in 2011).

Wisconsin responded again, this time with a methodical drive at the end of the first half capped off by a four-yard touchdown pass from Curt Phillips to tight end Jordan Fredrick.  That meant the Badgers trailed 17-14 at halftime.  The last time a team trailed the Rose Bowl at halftime and went on to win the Rose Bowl was 2000 when the Badgers trailed Stanford 9-3 but scored 14 unanswered points on to win 17-9.

Following a scoreless third quarter, Williamson converted a 22-yard field goal to give Stanford a 20-14 lead with a little over four minutes remaining in the game.  That meant for the third consecutive Rose Bowl, Wisconsin had the ball with a chance to win the game.  The Badgers moved the ball to midfield but Stanford cornerback Usua Amanam intercepted Phillips with just over two minutes left in the game.  Stanford went on to pick up one first down to secure their first Rose Bowl victory since 1972.

The 2013 Rose Bowl will undoubtedly be remembered as a defensive struggle.  Stanford running back Stepfan Taylor rushed for 89 yards and one touchdown while quarterback Kevin Hogan threw for 123 yards and ran for 54 yards.  Ball rushed for 100 yards and one touchdown while Phillips finished 10 for 16 throwing for 83 yards and rushing for 64 yards for Wisconsin.

The numbers for Wisconsin and Stanford were roughly even, highlighted by the fact that Wisconsin gained 83 yards in the second half while Stanford gained 96 yards.  As discussed earlier, Stanford has one of the best rush defenses in the nation so I am not sure why former starting quarterback Joel Stave didn't see more action than two snaps under center (one hand-off and one incomplete pass attempt).  For those that don't know, the Badgers lost Stave midway through the season to a broken collarbone but doctors recently cleared him to play in the Rose Bowl.  Stave might have been a little rusty but almost everyone was rusty because neither team has played in a month.  It is easy to second guess Alvarez and offensive coordinator Matt Canada but in this instance it seems like justifiable criticism.

Wisconsin just lost their third consecutive Rose Bowl (21-19 to TCU in 2011, 45-38 to Oregon in 2012, and 20-14 to Stanford in 2013) much like Michigan did in the late 1970's (14-6 to USC in 1977, 27-20 to Washington in 1978, and 17-10 to USC in 1979).  Since Wisconsin won consecutive Rose Bowls in 1999 and 2000 the Big Ten has gone 1-9 in the Rose Bowl thanks in large part to Wisconsin and Michigan both losing three Rose Bowls in the last decade.  Here's hoping that new head coach Gary Andersen can help the Badgers win a Rose Bowl soon.

Barry Alvarez "humbly" decides to coach the Badgers in the 2013 Rose Bowl

The last time Barry Alvarez coached the Wisconsin Badgers football team they upset the 7th ranked Auburn Tigers in the 2006 Capital One Bowl winning 24-10.  Everyone, including Alvarez, could not conceive of any way that Alvarez would even coach the Badgers again, let alone coach them in a Rose Bowl.

Part of the reason Alvarez agreed to coach Wisconsin in the 2013 Rose Bowl following the shocking departure of Bret Bielema to Arkansas was that Alvarez said he was "humbled" by the fact that the team captains asked him to coach the 2013 Rose Bowl.  I said "humbled" because if you've ever seen one of Alvarez's press conferences, he is anything but humble.

There is no doubt that Alvarez is the savior of the Wisconsin Badgers football program, which allowed Wisconsin to turn a blind eye to certain indiscretions on Alvarez's watch because of his impressive resume at Wisconsin:
- Head Coach from 1990 to 2005
- Athletic Director from 2004 to present
- Overall record as head coach of 118-73-4 (.615)
- Bowl record of 8-3, including 3-0 in the Rose Bowl (UCLA 21-16 in 1994, UCLA 38-31 in 1999, and Stanford 17-9 in 2000)
- Won 3 Big Ten Titles (1993, 1998, and 1999)
- College Football Hall of Game inductee in 2010

Besides the captains asking Alvarez to coach the team, there were a number of other converging factors that worked in Alvarez's favor to coach the Badgers one last time.  Most notably, Alvarez is the athletic director so he doesn't need to get his boss's permission because he is the boss.  Besides being the main decision maker, almost all of Wisconsin's assistant coaches have their sights set on other jobs.  Juxtapose that with Alvarez who has reportedly had other head coaching offers since stepping down as head coach following the 2005 season.  Instead of bolting Wisconsin for a more lucrative coaching job, Alvarez remained athletic director at Wisconsin.

There is the financial aspects of Alvarez coaching the Rose Bowl as well.  Alvarez earns an annual salary of $1 million for being the Wisconsin athletic director.  It is reported that Alvarez will earn at least $100,000 for coaching the Rose Bowl and is in line for a sizable bonus if the Badgers beat Stanford in the 2013 Rose Bowl.  Doubling or possibly tripling his salary for the month of December is a nice holiday bonus for Alvarez, which I am sure his wife and bank account will appreciate.

The 2013 Rose Bowl is technically Alvarez's 6th Rose Bowl as a coach since he was an assistant coach twice for the Iowa Hawkeyes (1982 and 1986) to go along with the four Rose Bowls as head coach for Wisconsin (1994, 1999, 2000, and 2013).  In terms of his legacy, this might be the most important Rose Bowl for Alvarez because he is putting his undefeated record as a head coach of 3-0 in the Rose Bowl on the line.  If Alvarez leads the Badgers over Stanford he will join Woody Hayes for the most wins by a Big Ten coach in Rose Bowl history.  Plus it would be a nice jab at his hand picked protege Bret Bielema that bolted Wisconsin for Arkansas earlier this month because Bielema has an 0-2 Rose Bowl record losing the 2011 and 2012 Rose Bowl.

Bret Bielema leaves Wisconsin for Arkansas

Wisconsin was a perennial doormat of the Big "Ten" in football before Barry Alvarez took over as the head football coach in 1990.  Alvarez lead the Badgers to a 118-74-4 record, 8-3 in bowl games (including 3 Rose Bowl victories), and 3 Big "Ten" Championships (1993, 1998, & 1999).  Bret Bielema served as defensive coordinator under Alvarez at Wisconsin for two seasons (2004-2005) before taking over as the head football coach when Alvarez relinquished those duties to focus solely on being the Wisconsin athletic director (a position he held since 2004 after Pat Richter retired as athletic director).

On Monday I posted a question to Milwaukee Journal Sentinel Wisconsin Badgers beat writer Jeff Potrykus's chat about the rumors of Bielema leaving Wisconsin for Tennessee.  Potrykus dismissed the rumor.  As it turns out, Bielema is leaving Wisconsin to coach in the SEC, just not for Tennessee.  Instead, Bielema accepted an offer to become the 32nd head football coach of the Arkansas Razorbacks, which is the team that Bielema beat 17-14 in his first season as head football coach of Wisconsin in the Capital One Bowl.  The timing of Bielema leaving Wisconsin is surprising because he was set to lead Wisconsin to their 3rd consecutive Rose Bowl appearance in a little less than a month.

Bielema finished his seven year stint as head football coach at Wisconsin with a 68-24 record, 37-19 in the Big "Ten", 2-0 in Big "Ten" Championship Games, and 2-4 bowl games.

Let's look at Bielema's record, by season:
2006: 12-1 and 7-1 in Big "Ten"
2007: 9-4 and 5-3 in Big "Ten"
2008: 7-6 and 3-5 in Big "Ten"
2009: 10-3 and 5-3 in Big "Ten"
2010: 11-2 and 7-1 in Big "Ten"
2011: 11-3 and 6-2 in Big "Ten"
2012: 8-5 and 4-4 in Big "Ten"

Bielema had a lackluster bowl record, which always left a bad taste in Badgers fan's mouths throughout the 9 month off-season.  Here is Bielema's bowl game breakdown:
2006: beat Arkansas 17-14 in the Capital One Bowl on January 1, 2007
2007: lost to Tennessee 21-17 in the Outback Bowl on January 1, 2008
2008: lost to Florida State 42-13 in the Champs Sports Bowl on December 27, 2008
2009: beat Univ. of Miami (FL) 20-14 in the Champs Sports Bowl on December 29, 2009
2010: lost to TCU 21-19 in the Rose Bowl on January 1, 2011
2011: lost to Oregon 45-38 in the Rose Bowl on January 2, 2012

Bielema's biggest accomplishment at Wisconsin will undoubtedly be going 2-0 in the only two Big "Ten" Championship games ever played (so far) in conference history:
2011: beat Michigan State 42-39 in the inaugural Big Ten Championship Game
2012: beat Nebraska 70-31 in the Big Ten Championship Game

Wisconsin won at least a share of the Big Ten Title in each of the last three seasons: 2010 (Co-Champions), 2011 ("Leaders" Division Co-Champions, represented "Leaders" Division in the Big Ten Championship Game & won), and 2012 ("Leaders" Division representative in Big "Ten" Championship Game despite finishing 3rd in the "Leaders" division because Ohio State & Penn State were ineligible for post-season play & won).  The only hole in Bielema's resume is that he never won a Rose Bowl, going 0-2 while his predecessor and former boss Alvarez went 3-0.

There was some speculation after Bielema accepted the job at Arkansas that he still wanted to coach Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl but rumbling are that associate head coach/defensive line coach Charlie Partridge would get the nod in Bielema's place if Partridge doesn't follow Bielema to Arkansas.  I find Bielema wanting to coach Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl unrealistic on two fronts.  First, Arkansas wants Bielema to hit the recruiting trail immediately.  Second, Wisconsin wants to name Bielema's successor as soon as possible for recruiting purposes and might be able to use the chance to coach the upcoming Rose Bowl as a way to entice a slightly bigger name to take the job.

There are a ton of other jobs that you could argue are just as good or maybe even slightly better than Wisconsin (i.e. Clemson, Michigan State, etc) but what collegiate head football coaching jobs are unquestionably better than Wisconsin?  In my mind, here are the unquestionably better, and in most instances more risky, jobs:
- ACC: Florida State, University of Miami (FL), and Virginia Tech
- Big 12: Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and Texas
- Big "Ten": Michigan, Nebraska, and Ohio State
- Independent: Notre Dame
- Pac-12: Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, and USC
- SEC: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, and LSU

There is no doubt (in my mind at least) that Arkansas is bigger college football program than Wisconsin.  Arkansas joined the SEC in 1992 but has never won a conference championship and has only appeared in the conference championship game three times  Despite not having any SEC Championships, Arkansas fans still expect to win the SEC.

After finishing the 2011 season the 5th ranked team in the country, the Arkansas football program has fallen on hard times over the last eight months.  Bobby Petrino was fired as the head football coach of Arkansas after it was revealed that he was having an affair with a former Arkansas student-athlete that he hired to work him.  Former Michigan State head coach John L. Smith took a 10-month contract to coach Arkansas but could only muster a 4-8 record (2-6 in the SEC) despite having a ton of raw talent on the roster.  That all leaves Bielema with a bit of a mess to clean-up at Arkansas.

Let's not forget Bielema was born in Illinois, played football at Iowa, and coached football in the Big "Ten" for all but two years of his coaching career until now.  Bielema even took some shots at Ohio State head football coach Urban Meyer insinuating that the Big "Ten" is classier than the SEC in terms of recruiting practices.  This all begs the question, why would Bielema take the Arkansas job instead of staying at Wisconsin?

As always, follow the money.  Even though Bielema was already one the 20 highest paid college football coaches earning $2.6 million in 2012 he didn't think that was enough I guess.  There are conflicting reports on Bielema's future annual compensation from Arkansas, some claim that Bielema signed a six-year contract worth $3.2 million a year while others report that Bielema is set to earn more than $4 million a year.  I planned on writing a post as the Badgers got closer to the Rose Bowl on whether Bielema was sufficiently compensated since he was the 5th highest paid coach in the Big "Ten" in 2012 but I guess Arkansas showed us that Bielema was underpaid at Wisconsin.

The Big "Ten" is a quality football conference but it is not nearly as deep or demanding as the SEC.  There are currently 14 teams in the SEC broken into the Eastern Division (University of Florida, University of Georgia, University of Kentucky, University of Missouri, University of South Carolina, University of Tennessee, & Vanderbilt University) and Western Division (University of Alabama, University of Arkansas, Auburn University, Louisiana State University, Mississippi State University, University of Mississippi, & Texas A&M University).

Juxtapose that with the 14 teams that will make up the Big "Ten" in 2014 with this potential breakdown for the Legends Division (Indiana, Maryland, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, & Wisconsin) and Leaders Division (Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska, & Northwestern).  With Bielema headed to the SEC that leaves Indiana's Kevin Wilson as the longest tenured coach in the Legends Division (hired in 2010) and Iowa's Kirk Ferentz as the longest tenured coach (hired in 1999) in the Big "Ten".

Penn State is only a quarter of the way though four years of crippling sanctions so Wisconsin is poised to push Ohio State for the Legends Division Title for the foreseeable future.  That is simply not the case at Arkansas in the Western Division of the SEC.  Over that same time frame Alabama (thanks to Nick Saban), LSU (thanks to Les Miles), and Texas A&M (thanks to Johnny Football) will most likely finish ahead of Arkansas.  The love for college football down south is akin to professional soccer abroad so if Bielema thinks finishing 4th in the Western Division of the SEC is acceptable, he is sorely mistaken.

The pressing issue for Wisconsin now is getting a quality head coach hired as soon as possible.  The first name to surface was former assistant coach Paul Chryst who coached the tight ends at Wisconsin in 2002 before leaving the program to be the offensive coordinator at Oregon State for the next two seasons (2003-2004) before returning to Wisconsin as the offensive coordinator from 2005-2011 before becoming the head football coach at the University of Pittsburgh this past season.  Chryst only went 6-6 at Pittsburgh but that shouldn't matter much since Chryst is credited with landing a number of the offensive superstars that currently play for the Badgers.  Chryst released a statement that said he is committed to Pittsburgh but as Bielema showed, money talks.

Beside Chryst, former Wisconsin assistant coach Dave Doeren is another name that I am sure will surface.  Doeren held various defensive assistant coaching titles at Wisconsin from 2006-2010 before leaving the program to become the head football coach of Northern Illinois in 2011.  Doeren lead Northern Illinois to a 23-4 record including an upcoming BCS Bowl appearance (Orange Bowl) before leaving to become the head football coach at North Carolina State for next season.

For either Chryst or Doeren to become the next head football coach of Wisconsin, they would need very lucrative long-term guarantees.  I am not saying that Wisconsin has to sign either Chryst or Doeren but I am saying that it is time for Wisconsin to actually start paying the going rate for head coaches and more importantly their assistant coaches.  Bielema lost six assistant coaches last off-season and all were hired to similar assistant coaching positions besides Chryst.  Thus Wisconsin has to start paying their assistants because it might have been a big reason why Bielema left Wisconsin for Arkansas.

Assuming Bielema continued to keep Wisconsin bowl eligible on an annual basis his job was safe.  Now Bielema has to chase national titles with BCS bowl appearances on a near annual basis as a fallback position to keep his job at Arkansas.  Only time will tell if Bielema made the right decision.  As long as Bielema accepted the Arkansas job while fully appreciating the risks, I can't blame him for taking the new gig.  If Bielema is looking for a new employer in the next five years, he should have stayed at Wisconsin instead of going all-in taking the Arkansas job